Edwards vs Muhammad 2 > Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie > Fight Analysis

### Meta Title Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie: UFC 304 Betting Tips & Analysis

### Meta Title

Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie: UFC 304 Betting Tips & Analysis

Published

Mon Jul 22 2024

Last Updated

Mon Jul 22 2024

Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie - Welterweight Showdown at UFC 304

MMA fans and sports bettors, mark your calendars for July 27, 2024! The octagon in Manchester, United Kingdom will play host to an electrifying Welterweight clash between Sam Patterson and Kiefer Crosbie. This bout is slated to be a thrilling affair on the early preliminary card of UFC 304, headlined by Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad 2 at the Co-op Live arena.

A Tale of Two Fighters

Sam Patterson: Britain's Promising Prospect

Hailing from Watford, UK, Sam Patterson steps into this fight with a professional record of 11 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Patterson, also known as "The Future", is known for his versatile fighting style, clinching 6 wins by submission and 4 by knockout. Standing tall at 75 inches, with an arm reach of 78 inches, Patterson’s physical advantages are hard to overlook. Although he’s coming off a mixed year highlighted by a shocking first-round knockout loss to Yanal Ashmouz in March 2023, Patterson rebounded with a dominant submission victory over Yohan Lainesse in January 2024. These contrasting outcomes make Patterson an intriguing figure ahead of this face-off.

Kiefer Crosbie: Ireland’s Gritty Contender

On the other side, Kiefer Crosbie from Dublin, Ireland, brings a 10-4-0 record to the cage. His 5 wins by knockout and 2 by submission showcase his aggressive style and power. Known for his relentless pace and 100% takedown defense, Crosbie isn't a fighter that opponents can easily bring to the ground. However, with a recent loss via submission to Kevin Jousset in his UFC debut in September 2023, the Irishman is eager to turn his fortune around. At 31 years old, Crosbie knows the urgency of making his mark in the UFC’s competitive landscape.

Betting Odds and Predictions

For those interested in UFC betting tips, Patterson enters the bout as a solid favorite with odds ranging from -335 to -375 across various sportsbooks such as BetOnline.ag, DraftKings, and Bovada. In contrast, Crosbie is the underdog with odds fluctuating between +250 and +285. These odds not only reflect the fighters' recent form but also the betting community’s perception of Patterson's potential to dominate this matchup.

Key Considerations for Bettors and Fans

Keep a close eye on the stats. Patterson boasts a higher average fight time (4:12) compared to Crosbie (9:55), suggesting a proclivity for quicker finishes. Patterson’s impeccable takedown percentage of 100%, contrasted with Crosbie’s superb 67% takedown accuracy, sets the stage for a tactical ground game. Crosbie’s significant strike accuracy (56%) and defense (53%) might be pivotal if the fight extends to trading blows.

Whether you’re a casual fan, die-hard UFC aficionado, or an astute bettor looking for UFC event predictions, the Patterson vs. Crosbie bout promises to add another riveting chapter to the Welterweight division. Buckle up for an evening of high-stakes action and potential upsets.

Stay tuned for detailed fighter analyses, betting strategies, and more as we edge closer to the event date. Visit UFC Bet Companion for comprehensive coverage and insights on all UFC matchups!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Edwards vs Muhammad 2 can be found on the Edwards vs Muhammad 2 event page.

Fighter Profiles: Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie

In the competitive world of the UFC, understanding a fighter's background, recent form, and overall strengths and weaknesses can give you an edge whether you're a fan or placing bets. Here’s a deep dive into the profiles of Sam Patterson and Kiefer Crosbie, two warriors set to clash in the octagon on July 27, 2024, at UFC 304 in Manchester, United Kingdom.

Sam Patterson

Background

  • Age: 27
  • Country: United Kingdom
  • Fighting Style: Mixed Martial Arts (MMA)
  • Height: 75 inches
  • Weight: 180 lbs
  • Arm Reach: 78 inches
  • Leg Reach: 42.99 inches
  • Record: 11-2-1
  • UFC Debut: March 18, 2023

Recent Form

  1. March 2023: Loss via KO/TKO to Yanal Ashmouz (Round 1, 1:15)
  2. January 2024: Win via Submission against Yohan Lainesse (Round 1, 2:03)

Sam Patterson, known for his robust and versatile MMA fighting style, has an impressive record marked by his proficiency in both submissions and knockouts. However, his recent form has been mixed. After suffering a quick first-round knockout loss to Yanal Ashmouz in March 2023, he showcased resilience by bouncing back with a swift submission victory over Yohan Lainesse in January 2024.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

  • Submission Skills: Patterson has secured 6 wins by submission, illustrating his ground game prowess.
  • Physical Attributes: With a significant reach advantage (78 inches), he can keep opponents at bay and excel in striking.

Weaknesses:

  • Strike Defense: Patterson’s significant strike defense is 49%, which suggests vulnerability to accurate strikers.
  • Takedown Defense: With a takedown defense percentage of 33%, opponents might exploit this by taking the fight to the ground.

Kiefer Crosbie

Background

  • Age: 31
  • Country: Ireland
  • Fighting Style: Mixed Martial Arts (MMA)
  • Height: 70.98 inches
  • Weight: 186 lbs
  • Record: 10-4-0
  • UFC Debut: September 10, 2023

Recent Form

  1. September 2023: Loss via Submission to Kevin Jousset (Round 1, 4:49)

Kiefer Crosbie, fighting out of Dublin, Ireland, brings a well-rounded game characterized by his striking power and balanced approach. Despite an unfortunate debut loss to Kevin Jousset via submission, his overall fight resume reflects toughness and a knack for finishing fights.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

  • Knockout Power: Crosbie has amassed 5 wins by knockout, demonstrating his ability to end fights with striking.
  • Takedown Defense: Crosbie boasts a perfect takedown defense rate of 100%, making it difficult for opponents to dominate him on the ground.

Weaknesses:

  • Submission Vulnerability: His last fight resulted in a first-round submission loss, revealing a potential Achilles' heel in grappling exchanges.
  • Endurance in High-Stress Situations: The loss in his UFC debut might reflect challenges in high-pressure scenarios, making this fight a crucial test of his resilience.

Summary

As Sam Patterson and Kiefer Crosbie gear up for their showdown, it's clear both fighters have distinct attributes and challenges. Patterson’s submission expertise and reach advantage could play a pivotal role, while Crosbie’s knockout power and impeccable takedown defense provide a formidable counter. Understanding their backgrounds, recent form, and key strengths and vulnerabilities can give you an insightful edge for your UFC betting strategies.

Stay tuned for more UFC matchup analysis and UFC event predictions on UFC Bet Companion as the fight date approaches.

Betting Odds and History: Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie

When it comes to making informed bets on the Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie fight at UFC 304, a deep dive into the odds can provide crucial insights. From understanding who the underdog is to determining the best sportsbook to place a bet, here's all you need to know for this electrifying Welterweight bout set for July 27, 2024, in Manchester, United Kingdom.

Current Betting Odds

As of the latest updates, here's a snapshot of the current odds:

  • Sam Patterson:

    • LowVig.ag: -350
    • FanDuel: -360
    • DraftKings: -360
    • BetRivers: -335
    • BetMGM: -375
    • Bovada: -340
    • BetOnline.ag: -350
    • Caesars: -350
  • Kiefer Crosbie:

    • BetMGM: +280
    • LowVig.ag: +285
    • DraftKings: +285
    • FanDuel: +260
    • BetRivers: +250
    • BetOnline.ag: +285
    • Bovada: +270
    • Caesars: +275

Who's the Favorite and Who's the Underdog?

Based on the current odds, Sam Patterson is the clear favorite across all major sportsbooks. This means he’s widely expected to win, and the payouts for betting on him are lower compared to betting on Kiefer Crosbie, who is the underdog.

Best Sportsbook to Bet On

If you’re looking to bet on Sam Patterson, BetRivers offers the most favorable odds at -335. This means you’ll get the best return on your bet at this sportsbook compared to others where the odds are less favorable (e.g., BetMGM at -375).

For those considering a wager on Kiefer Crosbie, LowVig.ag and DraftKings provide the most lucrative odds at +285, giving you the highest potential payout among the listed sportsbooks.

How Much Would I Win?

Placing a $1,000 bet on either fighter could result in:

  • Sam Patterson:
    • At -335 (via BetRivers), you would win approximately $298 in profit, leading to a total payout of $1,298.
  • Kiefer Crosbie:
    • At +285 (via LowVig.ag or DraftKings), a $1,000 bet would net you a profit of $2,850, resulting in a total payout of $3,850.

Odds History and Probability

Patterson’s Odds History

Since the odds first opened, Sam Patterson’s have seen fluctuations. Initially, his odds at LowVig.ag started at -290 and have gradually tightened to -350. Similarly, DraftKings saw an initial -305 which moved to -360. The general trend shows increasing confidence in Patterson’s victory.

Crosbie’s Odds History

Kiefer Crosbie’s odds have varied slightly but shown more consistency. LowVig.ag initially offered +245, moving to +285 most recently. DraftKings saw a modest range from +245 to current +285. The steadiness in Crosbie’s odds underscores a stable view of his underdog status with potential for an upset.

Most Dynamic Sportsbooks

In the odds history data:

  • DraftKings had the most frequent updates for both fighters, particularly noticeable in Patterson’s odds, reflecting the dynamic betting volume.
  • BetMGM has shown significant movement as well, with changing odds from -350 to -375 for Patterson and +270 to +280 for Crosbie.

Conclusion

With Sam Patterson as the favored pick and Kiefer Crosbie looking for an upset, the dynamics of this fight make it an exciting prospect for fans and bettors alike. Carefully picking your sportsbook based on current odds and historical trends can maximize your returns. For the latest updates, in-depth analysis, and UFC betting strategies, don’t forget to visit UFC Bet Companion.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez