Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba: Fight Analysis & Predictions

Get ready, fight fans! The UFC Women's Strawweight division is set to heat up like never before as two of Brazil's toughest warriors, Amanda Lemos and Virna Jandiroba, clash in an electrifying showdown. This much-anticipated bout takes center stage on July 21, 2024, at the iconic UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. With Lemos ranked #3 and Jandiroba sitting at #5, this matchup promises to bring high stakes and fierce competition. If you're looking for in-depth UFC betting tips and a comprehensive Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba analysis, you've come to the right place.

The fight is not just another event on the UFC main card; it’s a pivotal moment for both fighters as they aim to assert dominance in the division. With Amanda Lemos entering the octagon boasting a record of 14-3-1, she’s a lethal mix of power and precision. Lemos' striking prowess is second to none with an astounding 55% significant strike accuracy, and her ability to finish fights early is evidenced by her 8 first-round finishes. Despite her recent loss to the reigning champ Weili Zhang, Lemos has shown relentless resilience and is always a threat with her potent knockout power—it's no wonder she's considered a formidable opponent.

On the flip side, Virna Jandiroba brings her exceptional Jiu-Jitsu skills to the ring, holding a record of 20-3-0. Jandiroba’s ground game is impeccable, with an impressive 13 wins by submission and a solid 74% takedown defense. Also, she’s been on a roll with recent victories over Marina Rodriguez and Angela Hill, showcasing her ability to grind out wins against top-tier opponents. Ranked at #5, Jandiroba aims to climb the ladder and disrupt Lemos' plans of moving closer to a title shot.

What makes this bout even more exciting are the betting odds. As of the latest updates, Jandiroba is the favorite with odds ranging from -130 to -140 across major sportsbooks like Bovada, BetMGM, and DraftKings. On the other hand, Lemos, the underdog, presents a lucrative opportunity for bettors with odds ranging from +105 to +120, depending on where you place your bet. Whether you are a seasoned bettor or just getting your feet wet, this fight provides a prime opportunity to navigate the intricacies of UFC event predictions.

In this UFC event analysis, we will delve deeper into the fighters’ histories, stats, and potential strategies, offering you the insights needed to make informed betting decisions. Stay tuned for an all-encompassing look at how these two Brazilian powerhouses stack up against each other, and get ready for a spectacular fight night that promises to be a rollercoaster of action and drama.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lemos vs Jandiroba can be found on the Lemos vs Jandiroba event page.

Fighter Profiles: Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba

Amanda Lemos

Background

Amanda Lemos, hailing from Belém, Brazil, is an experienced striker with a versatile Boxing background. At 37 years old, Lemos stands at 64 inches tall and competes at 115.5 pounds in the Women's Strawweight division. Making her UFC debut on July 16, 2017, Lemos has climbed the ranks to achieve a current standing of #3 in her division, and she’s recognized as #12 Pound-for-Pound (PFP) among female fighters.

Recent Form

Lemos has shown both success and setbacks in her recent fights:

• Loss to Weili Zhang (Unanimous Decision) on August 20, 2023.
• Win against Marina Rodriguez (KO/TKO) on November 5, 2022.
• Win over Michelle Waterson (Submission) on July 16, 2022.
• Loss to Jessica Andrade (Submission) on April 24, 2022.
• Close win against Angela Hill (Split Decision) on December 19, 2021.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

• Striking Precision: Lemos boasts an impressive 55% significant strike accuracy, landing powerful and precise blows.
• Finishing Ability: With 8 wins by knockout and 8 first-round finishes, Lemos is a potent finisher capable of ending fights quickly.
• Takedown Accuracy: Her 64% takedown accuracy highlights her effectiveness in bringing fights to the ground when needed.

Weaknesses:

• Defense Vulnerabilities: Lemos' 44% significant strike defense is comparatively low, indicating susceptibility to opponents' strikes.
• Consistency: Despite having high-caliber wins, her losses to fighters like Zhang and Andrade reveal that she occasionally struggles against elite competition.

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Virna Jandiroba

Background

Virna Jandiroba, fighting out of the State of Bahia, Brazil, is a formidable grappler with a core in Jiu-Jitsu. At 36 years old, she stands 63 inches tall with a fighting weight of 115 pounds. Jandiroba entered the UFC octagon for the first time on April 27, 2019, and she’s currently ranked #5 in the Women's Strawweight division.

Recent Form

Jandiroba has displayed consistency and skill through her recent matchups:

• Win over Marina Rodriguez (Unanimous Decision) on May 7, 2023.
• Win against Angela Hill (Unanimous Decision) on May 15, 2022.
• Loss to Amanda Ribas (Unanimous Decision) on October 30, 2021.
• Win over Kanako Murata (TKO - Doctor's Stoppage) on June 19, 2021.
• Loss to Mackenzie Dern (Decision) on December 13, 2020.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

• Grappling Dominance: Jandiroba’s Jiu-Jitsu expertise gives her the edge on the ground, with 13 wins by submission demonstrating her ability to finish fights through technical prowess.
• Takedown Defense: With a 74% takedown defense rate, she effectively neutralizes opponents' attempts to control the ground game.
• Submission Threat: Her ability to secure submissions makes her a lethal threat on the mat, capable of ending fights at any moment.

Weaknesses:

• Striking Accuracy: Jandiroba’s 39% significant strike accuracy is relatively low, indicating potential struggles in stand-up exchanges.
• Fight Duration: Averaging 12 minutes per fight, Jandiroba’s fights tend to go longer, which can be a double-edged sword against aggressive finishers like Lemos.

In sum, Amanda Lemos and Virna Jandiroba bring contrasting styles and strengths into this fight, making for an intriguing matchup. Whether it’s Lemos’ striking ferocity or Jandiroba’s ground-game mastery, this bout holds significant implications for the Women’s Strawweight division. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into how these fighters might strategize for victory, and check out additional UFC event predictions and betting tips to weigh your odds.

Betting Odds and Odds History: Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba

Current Betting Odds

As we approach the highly anticipated Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba fight, bettors and fans alike are keen to know how the odds are stacking up. The odds tell a fascinating story, one that suggests a very close and competitive matchup.

At the moment, Virna Jandiroba is favored to win, with a range of odds from -130 to -140 across various sportsbooks. On the flip side, Amanda Lemos is the underdog, carrying odds from +105 to +120. With such tight odds, this fight represents a significant betting opportunity, no matter which side you lean toward.

Best Sportsbooks and Odds Fluctuations

Considering the odds history, let’s look at the top sportsbooks and how they have adjusted their figures over time:

• Bovada: Jandiroba (-130), Lemos (+110)
• BetMGM: Jandiroba (-135), Lemos (+110)
• DraftKings: Jandiroba (-135), Lemos (+114)
• LowVig.ag: Jandiroba (-140), Lemos (+120)
• Caesars: Jandiroba (-130), Lemos (+110)
• BetRivers: Jandiroba (-134), Lemos (+108)
• BetUS: Jandiroba (-135), Lemos (+105)
• BetOnline.ag: Jandiroba (-140), Lemos (+120)
• FanDuel: Jandiroba (-140), Lemos (+110)

LowVig.ag and FanDuel are currently offering some of the most consistent odds for Jandiroba as the favorite, while DraftKings and BetOnline.ag present attractive odds for Lemos as the underdog, making them favorable choices for those looking to risk on Lemos.

Odds History and Probability

The odds for both fighters have seen fluctuations, reflecting the betting market’s sentiment as the fight date approaches. For instance, Jandiroba's odds have shifted from -145 to -130 on several occasions across different sportsbooks, indicating a dynamic betting landscape. Meanwhile, Lemos’ odds have swung from +124 to as low as +105, showcasing variability based on recent betting action and public opinion.

Betting Payouts

If you’re contemplating putting down $1000 on either fighter, here’s what your payout could look like based on the current betting odds:

• Betting $1000 on Amanda Lemos (+110): If Lemos pulls off the win, you would net $1100 from your bet, resulting in a total payout of $2100.
• Betting $1000 on Virna Jandiroba (-130): Betting on Jandiroba would yield around $769 from your stake, making your total payout approximately $1769.

Probability Insights

The current odds imply the following win probabilities for each fighter:

• Virna Jandiroba: With odds around -130, her implied probability of winning sits at approximately 56.5%.
• Amanda Lemos: With odds of +110, Lemos has an implied winning probability of about 47.6%.

These probabilities illustrate just how closely matched and competitive this bout is projected to be, adding another layer of intrigue for fight enthusiasts and bettors alike.

Final Thoughts

Betting on the Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba fight offers a thrilling opportunity for both casual and seasoned bettors. With Jandiroba positioned as the slight favorite and Lemos as a value-packed underdog, there are multiple angles to consider. Keep an eye on the odds in the days leading up to the fight, as fluctuations can offer even better value. Major sportsbooks like Bovada, BetMGM, and DraftKings provide competitive lines and are recommended for placing your bets. Whether you’re backing the striking power of Lemos or the grappling prowess of Jandiroba, this matchup is set to be a captivating clash that could redefine the Strawweight division.