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Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez: Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez: Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Published

Mon Jul 08 2024

Last Updated

Mon Jul 08 2024

Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez: Fight Night Showdown at Ball Arena

Get ready, fight fans! On July 14, 2024, the UFC world will turn its gaze to Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, for an electrifying Women's Flyweight bout between the revered Rose "Thug" Namajunas and the formidable Tracy Cortez. Mark your calendars because this clash promises to deliver high-octane action and some solid UFC betting opportunities.

As we set the stage for this epic encounter, let's delve into the heart-pounding details that make this matchup a must-watch for enthusiasts and bettors alike. UFC betting tips point out that Namajunas, ranked #6, comes into this fight with the experience and skill set of a seasoned warrior. With a record of 13 wins, 6 losses, and 0 draws, her journey through the octagon has been nothing short of legendary. Known for her remarkable striking and submission abilities, Namajunas boasts a significant strike accuracy of 42% and an impressive takedown accuracy of 48%. It’s no surprise that betting odds from top bookmakers like DraftKings and FanDuel favor her, with odds hovering around -225 to -245.

On the other side of the ring, Tracy Cortez, ranked #11, is gearing up to showcase her own brand of tenacity and talent. Cortez, hailing from Phoenix, Arizona, brings a solid record of 11 wins and 1 loss. While relatively new compared to Namajunas, her stats reveal a fighter who’s not to be underestimated. With a significant strike accuracy of 53% and a takedown accuracy of 47%, Cortez has demonstrated her ability to control the fight both on her feet and on the ground. Bookmakers like BetOnline.ag and Caesars offer her odds at +175 to +186, making her an intriguing underdog pick for those looking for UFC event predictions.

This bout is not just about stats, though. It’s about the narratives weaving both these fighters' careers. Namajunas, at 31 years old, is coming off two back-to-back losses, the latest being a full-length war against Manon Fiorot. Cortez, at 30, is also looking to bounce back after a loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius. Both fighters have something to prove, and that makes this matchup even more enticing.

With similar heights and reach (65 inches for both), this battle is set to be a technical showcase of mixed martial arts. And let’s not forget the vibrant energy of the Ball Arena crowd, whose cheers could tilt the psychological scales in either fighter’s favor. From the fighting style (both listed as MMA specialists) to the psychological readiness, every element is in play here, making this a perfect setup for those looking to make informed UFC betting decisions.

Stay tuned as we break down the key strategies, conditioning, and psychological states of these warriors in our comprehensive Fighter A vs. Fighter B analysis. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a fight aficionado, this clash between Namajunas and Cortez is shaping up to be unmissable. Buckle up, because fight night in Denver is going to be an absolute thriller.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Namajunas vs Cortez can be found on the Namajunas vs Cortez event page.

Fighter Profiles: Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez

Rose Namajunas: The Veteran Contender

Rose Namajunas, standing at 5’5” with a 65-inch reach, is a force to be reckoned with in the Octagon. Hailing from Milwaukee, United States, Namajunas has been a formidable presence in the UFC since her debut on December 12, 2014. At 31 years old, she combines experience with a versatile MMA fighting style that has made her a fan favorite and a tough competitor. Her aliases, "Thug Rose," maybe suggest something about her street-ready demeanor and relentless approach to fights.

Recent Form

Namajunas' recent form has seen some ups and downs. In her last five outings, she has faced tough competitors, showcasing both her resilience and areas to improve:

  1. Loss vs Manon Fiorot (Sept. 2, 2023) - A grueling unanimous decision loss.
  2. Loss vs Carla Esparza (May 8, 2022) - A split decision that left fans divided.
  3. Win vs Weili Zhang (Nov. 7, 2021) - A closely contested split decision victory.
  4. Win vs Weili Zhang (Apr. 25, 2021) - A knockout victory in the first round showing her striking power.
  5. Win vs Jessica Andrade (July 12, 2020) - Another split decision win indicating durability and tactics over three rounds.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Namajunas' strengths lie in her comprehensive fight game. Her blend of striking and grappling makes her a dual threat. Her significant strike accuracy stands at 42%, and she's known for her precise, well-timed shots. Moreover, with a takedown accuracy of 48%, she can dominate on the ground as well.

However, her takedown defense is an area of vulnerability at 59%. Her losses, particularly in decision bouts, suggest room for improvement in maintaining control and preventing takedowns.

Tracy Cortez: Rising Star

Tracy Cortez, standing 5’5” with a 65.5-inch reach, represents Phoenix, United States, and burst onto the UFC scene with a debut on November 16, 2019. At 30 years old, Cortez's career has been closely watched as she quickly climbed the ranks with her robust MMA fighting style. Her athleticism and determination make her a formidable opponent to any fighter.

Recent Form

Cortez's recent performances have been a mix of victories and narrow losses, showcasing her grit and constant improvement:

  1. Loss vs Jasmine Jasudavicius (Sept. 16, 2023) - A unanimous decision loss.
  2. Loss vs Melissa Gatto (May 7, 2022) - Another unanimous decision setback.
  3. Win vs Justine Kish (Apr. 17, 2021) - A solid split decision win.
  4. Win vs Stephanie Egger (Oct. 10, 2020) - A unanimous decision demonstrating control.
  5. Win vs Vanessa Melo (Nov. 16, 2019) - A solid introduction with a decision victory.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Cortez's strengths are evident in her precise striking and grappling techniques. With a significant strike accuracy of 53%, Cortez lands more than half of her strikes, showcasing precision. Her take down accuracy at 47% reflects a balanced approach in controlling the fight both standing and on the ground.

However, her takedown defense stands at 75%, slightly higher than Namajunas but still leaves potential vulnerabilities against formidable grapplers. Additionally, most of her fights have gone to decision, indicating a potential weakness in finishing fights early, which could be a disadvantage against a seasoned opponent like Namajunas.

Analysis

Both fighters bring unique strengths and areas of vulnerability into this bout. Namajunas's experience and ability to finish fights contrasts with Cortez’s precision and evolving skill set. For bettors looking at UFC betting tips, this clash of styles and backgrounds makes it a tantalizing prospect. Will Namajunas’ experience secure her a victory, or will Cortez’s precision and youthful vigor lead to an upset? Stay tuned for an engaging battle that promises to be a technical showcase in the women’s flyweight division.

Betting Odds and Odds History: Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez

When it comes to UFC betting tips for the upcoming showdown between Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez, the betting odds provide some intriguing insights. Both fighters bring distinct qualities into the Octagon, but the sportsbooks have made Namajunas the clear favorite.

Current Betting Odds Breakdown

Rose Namajunas is currently positioned as the favorite across multiple sportsbooks with odds generally around -225 to -245. For instance, FanDuel has her at -245, making her the top pick among the bookies. On the other side, Tracy Cortez comes in as the underdog with odds ranging from +170 to +186. Let's take a closer look at some of the key sportsbooks and their odds:

  • DraftKings: Namajunas -225, Cortez +185
  • BetOnline.ag: Namajunas -220, Cortez +185
  • FanDuel: Namajunas -245, Cortez +186
  • Caesars: Namajunas -210, Cortez +175
  • BetMGM: Namajunas -225, Cortez +180

With Namajunas being the favorite, bookmakers are showing confidence in her experience and skill set to secure a win. But for those eyeing the underdog, Cortez offers significant value, especially at high odds like +186 on FanDuel.

Looking at the Odds History

Examining the odds history, it's evident that different sportsbooks have varied in how they adjust the lines over time. For example, DraftKings has shown a steady increase in odds favoring Namajunas, starting at -185 and moving up to -225. On the other hand, Cortez's odds at BetOnline.ag have fluctuated from +130 early on to +185 more recently, reflecting changing perceptions about her chances.

Interestingly, FanDuel has been the most dynamic in updating their odds, as observed by the changes from +148 for Cortez to +186 over time. This responsiveness can be crucial for bettors who like to stay ahead of the curve.

Where to Place Your Bet?

Given the current landscape, if you're looking to bet on Rose Namajunas, the best value odds are offered by Bovada at -210. Conversely, if you're leaning towards Tracy Cortez as the underdog, FanDuel's +186 gives you the highest potential return.

Payouts and Probabilities

If you placed a $1,000 bet on Namajunas at odds of -225, you’d stand to win approximately $444.44, making your total payout $1444.44. On the flip side, a $1,000 bet on Cortez at +186 could net you a profit of $1860, leading to a total payout of $2860.

From a probability perspective, the current odds suggest that Namajunas has roughly a 69.2% chance of winning, while Cortez holds about a 34.9% chance. Note, these are implied probabilities based on betting odds and not experimental data.

Final Thoughts

Whether you’re siding with the favorite Namajunas or backing the underdog Cortez, understanding the betting odds and their history is crucial for making an informed decision. With the dynamic nature of these odds, it’s essential to keep an eye on updates from your chosen sportsbook to snatch the best value. As always, calculate your risks and bet smartly to maximize your returns. Stay tuned to www.ufcbetcompanion.com for more in-depth UFC event predictions and fight analyses as we approach this highly anticipated bout.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez