Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev - AI generated fight pick

Matheus Nicolau is a more seasoned fighter in the UFC compared to Asu Almabayev, with a notable tenure since 2015 and a ranking of #7 in the Flyweight division. This experience gap is significant given Almabayev made his UFC debut only in August 2023. Nicolau's record of 19 wins with 5 losses and 1 draw reflects his ability to compete at a high level.

His significant strike defense at 66% is superior to Almabayev's 59%, showcasing Nicolau’s better defensive instincts and ability to avoid damage. Furthermore, Nicolau's exceptional takedown defense at 93% is crucial as it will negate Almabayev's substantial takedown accuracy of 57%. This will force the fight to remain standing or transitionally active, favoring Nicolau's boxing skills.

Additionally, Nicolau has a slight physical advantage with a 2-inch taller frame, a 1-inch longer arm reach, and a 2-inch longer leg reach, giving him an advantageous striking and grappling range.

Given these factors — superior UFC experience, striking defense, takedown defense, and physicality — Nicolau is more likely to control the fight dynamics, likely leading to a victory.