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Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns: UFC Fight Analysis & Odds

Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns: UFC Fight Analysis & Odds

Published

Fri Nov 01 2024

Last Updated

Fri Nov 01 2024

Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns: A High-Stakes Bantamweight Clash

Get ready to buckle up as the UFC Bantamweight division brings us a tantalizing showdown that promises fireworks and high drama. UFC Fight Night, coming to you live from the iconic UFC APEX in Las Vegas on November 9, 2024, features the bout every fight aficionado has been buzzing about: Cody Garbrandt vs. Miles Johns. This clash is more than just a fight; it's a collision course between a former champion on a mission to re-establish his place in UFC dominance and a rising star eager to make his mark. If you're on the hunt for UFC betting tips or aimed at dissecting the Garbrandt vs. Johns analysis, this event offers rich material for both fight fans and bettors worldwide.

Cody Garbrandt, a name that once echoed as "The No Love" in the Bantamweight elite, is known for his electrifying knockout power. Although his recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, with a record that currently stands at 14-6-0, Garbrandt’s 11 wins by knockout and an ability to finish fights in the first round underscore the lethal threat he poses. After suffering a submission loss to Deiveson Figueiredo earlier this year, Garbrandt is hungry to flip the script, rekindling the form that saw him ascend the ranks and capture UFC gold. As Garbrandt steps back into the octagon, his plus odds ranging from +106 to +115 make him a bold pick for those betting on a comeback performance.

His adversary, Miles Johns, is no stranger to fight fans. With a professional record of 15-2-0, Johns is a fighter on the rise, making his case as a formidable opponent in the Bantamweight division. Known for his precision and impressive fight IQ, Johns boasts a 69% significant strike defense coupled with an admirable 86% takedown defense. Having recently notched a unanimous decision win over Douglas Silva De Andrade, Johns is looking to continue his winning ways and stake his claim in the top echelons of the division. Slotting in as a slight favorite with odds ranging from -130 to -136, those betting on Johns are banking on his consistency and technical prowess to shine through.

Fight strategies and psychological edges will be pivotal as Garbrandt, with a reach advantage and explosive speed, faces the methodical and disciplined game plan of Johns. The energy in Las Vegas is set to be electrifying as these two warriors step into the octagon with everything to fight for. Whether you're tuned in for the pure thrill of the sport or to cash in on smart UFC betting strategies, Cody Garbrandt vs. Miles Johns promises to deliver on all fronts. So mark those calendars and ready your bets, as this is one matchup you won’t want to miss. Let's dive deeper into this fight that has all the makings of a classic!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Magny vs Prates can be found on the Magny vs Prates event page.

Fighter Profiles: Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns

Cody Garbrandt: The Knockout Artist

Cody Garbrandt, hailing from Uhrichsville, United States, enters the octagon as a fan-favorite with a reputation for sheer knockout power. At 32 years old, Garbrandt has been a prominent figure in the Bantamweight division since his UFC debut in 2015. His fighting style is characterized by his freestyle approach, combining quick footwork with explosive power — traits that earned him 11 knockouts in his professional career thus far. Standing at 68 inches tall, with a reach of 65.5 inches, Garbrandt uses his compact frame to deliver fierce punches and swift counters.

The recent form of Garbrandt has been a rollercoaster, capturing the highs and lows of a seasoned veteran. Over his last five fights, he's faced mixed outcomes. Despite a stunning first-round KO/TKO victory over Brian Kelleher in December 2023, Garbrandt has also experienced setbacks, including a submission loss to Deiveson Figueiredo in April 2024 and notable defeats against top-tier opponents like Rob Font and Kai Kara-France. These bouts highlight Garbrandt's susceptibility to submission tactics and defensive lapses, with a 60% significant strike defense stat indicating room for improvement against precision strikers.

Garbrandt's obvious strength lies in his knockout capability, backed by his history of first-round finishes. However, his challenges lie in defense and endurance — where his average fight time stands at 09:42, suggesting a tendency to deplete energy reserves in extended matchups. His takedown defense remains solid at 80%, but he's been vulnerable to high-pressure grapplers and submission specialists.

Miles Johns: The Technical Maestro

Meanwhile, Miles Johns, a 30-year-old fighter born in Newton, United States, brings a more technical boxing approach to his bouts. Since his UFC debut in 2019, Johns has built a reputation for his calculated and disciplined fighting style. His stats reflect a computed approach to the sport; with a significant strike accuracy of 48% and a defense rate of 69%, Johns is adept at dictating the pace and rhythm of a fight. Standing at 67 inches tall with a 68-inch arm reach, the Bantamweight contender leverages his height and reach to maintain range and control exchanges effectively.

Johns has showcased significant form lately, evidenced by a unanimous decision victory over Douglas Silva De Andrade in June 2024. Over the course of his last several appearances, Johns has demonstrated resilience and a tactical edge, often opting to grind opponents down over the duration of the fight. His remarkable 86% takedown defense complements his ability to stay on his feet and execute his striking game plan effectively.

While Johns' strengths lie in his defensive acumen and striking precision, his takedown accuracy at 21% may point to an area of improvement, especially when seeking to mix aspects of grappling with his boxing pedigree. Despite this, his fight IQ and adaptability in the octagon serve as a counterbalance, enabling him to adjust and score critical points across all three rounds.

In summary, Garbrandt vs. Johns is a fascinating match-up of explosive power versus technical skill. Fans and bettors alike will be keen to leverage these insights for UFC betting strategies, tuning into a bout that pitches knockout prowess against defensive finesse. Who will capitalize on their strengths and exploit their opponent's vulnerabilities? That's the million-dollar question as these two warriors gear up for action in Las Vegas.

Betting Odds Breakdown: Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns

As we edge closer to the high-stakes showdown between Cody Garbrandt and Miles Johns, the betting odds have become a hot topic for UFC fans and bettors alike. This section dives deep into the current odds, exploring which fighter is the underdog and offering insights into where the best betting value might lie. For anyone looking for UFC betting tips, understanding these odds is crucial in crafting a winning strategy.

Current Betting Odds

In the lead-up to the fight, Miles Johns is positioned as the favorite across all major sportsbooks. His odds range from -130 at Caesars to -136 at FanDuel, indicating a slight but consistent lean towards Johns securing the victory based on recent performances and statistical stature. On the flip side, Cody Garbrandt stands as the underdog, with odds spanning from +106 at FanDuel to +115 at BetOnline.ag. This range reflects both Garbrandt's recent form challenges and the perceived value of his potential to deliver an upset.

Sportsbook Insights

When it comes to selecting the best sportsbook for your bet, FanDuel emerges as a frequent updater of odds. For potential Garbrandt bettors, BetOnline.ag offers the highest odds at +115, suggesting a higher payout potential than competitors. If you were to place a $1000 bet on Garbrandt at those odds, you'd stand to collect $2150 if he defies the odds and wins. Conversely, backing Johns with the same stake at -130 odds on Caesars would net a total payout of about $1769.20, pointing towards a more conservative return given his favored position.

Historic fluctuation among sportsbooks presents an intriguing window into market sentiment. For instance, FanDuel adjusted Johns' odds from -146 to -136, reflecting confidence sliding towards neutrality, possibly due to betting volumes balancing out or late-breaking insights favoring Garbrandt. In terms of fluidity, FanDuel has shown the most dynamic odds shifts, marking it as a platform sensitive to the betting pulse.

Probability Outlook

Looking at the implied probability based on the odds, Johns boasts about a 56.5% chance of winning, signifying balanced confidence from bookmakers reflecting his current form and statistical edge. As for Garbrandt, his odds of +115 translate to an implied probability slightly below 47.6%, granting him underdog status yet highlighting substantial upset potential for the bold bettor.

For those weighing their options, examining both the odds and historical shifts provides an enriched picture of market trends and potential value bets. Whether you're rooting for Garbrandt's redemption arc or banking on Johns' momentum, choosing the right sportsbook based on odds and updates can tip your betting strategy from simply a gamble to a calculated move.

All things considered, the Garbrandt vs. Johns betting landscape is a tapestry of statistics, perceptions, and market dynamics — a fertile ground for both seasoned bettors and new enthusiasts aiming to capitalize on this thrilling Bantamweight clash.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez