Winner: Yan Xiaonan
Confidence Score: 85Yan Xiaonan, ranked #2 in the Women's Strawweight Division and possessing a record of 18-4-0, is on a strong trajectory compared to Tabatha Ricci's current standing. Yan's striking ability is superior with a 45% significant strike accuracy as opposed to Ricci's 38%. Yan also holds an impressive 73% takedown accuracy, showcasing her ability to control the fight dynamics effectively. Meanwhile, Ricci's 38% in the same category indicates struggles in implementing her judo style to its full potential.
Moreover, Yan has a height and reach advantage with 4 inches more in both height and arm reach, potentially allowing her to keep Ricci at bay and effectively use her striking skills. Despite both fighters having identical defense in significant strikes (59%), Yan's ability to finish fights early with 8 first-round finishes indicates a higher level of aggression and fight-ending capability.
While Ricci has won her recent two fights by decision, her performance against top competition hasn't been as dominant. Yan's experienced presence and higher level of finishing ability in the octagon provide her with a notable edge, making her a favorite to win this matchup, especially in keeping the fight standing which aligns with her striking-centric fighting style. With these advantages, my confidence in Yan's victory is at 85%.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Yan Xiaonan vs Tabatha Ricci can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Yan vs Figueiredo can be found on the Yan vs Figueiredo event page.