Winner: Zhang Mingyang
Confidence Score: 85Based on the analysis of the available fighter statistics and histories, Zhang Mingyang appears to be the more favorable candidate to win the fight against Ozzy Diaz. Here are the key factors leading to this conclusion:
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Professional Record and Experience: Zhang Mingyang holds a strong professional record of 17 wins and 6 losses, compared to Ozzy Diaz's single fight record of 0-1 in the UFC. This indicates a significant experience advantage for Zhang.
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Finishing Ability: Zhang has demonstrated substantial finishing ability with 11 wins by knockout and 6 by submission. Impressively, all of his finishes have come in the first round, suggesting he is a fast starter with the ability to rapidly close out fights.
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Striking Accuracy and Defense: Zhang’s striking accuracy stands at 58%, which is considerably higher than Diaz's 32%. Additionally, his strike defense is also at 58%, giving him a superior striking efficiency and defense.
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Fight Momentum: Zhang's capability to win decisively in the first round implies he has strong momentum and effectiveness in fights, although specific recent fights aren’t listed for momentum analysis. Conversely, Ozzy Diaz lacks any recorded victories and experience in high-pressure UFC environments.
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Physical Attributes: While Diaz has a size advantage with a 2-inch height and 3-inch arm reach over Zhang, his lack of takedown capability (0% takedown accuracy and defense) and ineffective striking defense are critical weaknesses.
Given Zhang’s complete skill set, his ability to end fights swiftly, and the statistical disadvantages presented by Diaz's minimal recorded effectiveness, Zhang Mingyang stands as the clear favorite to win this bout. The confidence score reflects Zhang's proven track record and fighting capabilities.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Zhang Mingyang vs Ozzy Diaz can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Yan vs Figueiredo can be found on the Yan vs Figueiredo event page.