Winner: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
Confidence Score: 65Both fighters come into this matchup with unique challenges. Carlos Hernandez has a professional record of 9-4-0, showcasing experience and a mix of wins by decision and submission. However, his recent form is concerning with losses in three out of his last four fights. His significant strike accuracy (46%) and defense (47%) are moderate and do not present a significant advantage over his opponent. Moreover, his takedown accuracy (18%) is relatively low, although his takedown defense (65%) is respectable compared to Nyamjargal Tumendemberel's.
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, with a record of 2-0-0, is relatively new to the UFC with limited data. Despite this, he boasts a higher win rate and no defeats, indicating potential momentum and confidence. His takedown accuracy (38%) is significantly higher than Hernandez's, but his takedown defense (14%) is worryingly low, which could be exploited if Hernandez manages to execute a better grappling strategy.
Given Tumendemberel's undefeated streak, higher takedown success, and the fact that Hernandez is on a losing streak, the momentum and psychological edge could favor Tumendemberel. Hence, I predict that Nyamjargal Tumendemberel might have the upper hand in this fight, although the margin isn't overwhelmingly large due to the limited information available about his overall skill set at the highest level.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Nyamjargal Tumendemberel vs Carlos Hernandez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Yan vs Figueiredo can be found on the Yan vs Figueiredo event page.