Winner: Matthew Semelsberger
Confidence Score: 70Matthew Semelsberger has a notable edge over Charles Radtke in several key areas. Firstly, Semelsberger's record (11-7-0) is slightly more favorable than Radtke's (9-4-0), suggesting more experience at a similar level of competition. Semelsberger boasts a higher significant strike accuracy at 43% compared to Radtke, who lacks recorded statistics in this category, indicating Semelsberger's proficiency in striking exchanges.
Moreover, Semelsberger demonstrates superior grappling with a takedown accuracy of 57% and a demonstrated ability to finish fights early with knockout power (6 wins by KO) and a first round finishes (3). His height and reach advantage (4 inches taller, 3 inches arm reach advantage) should aid him in both striking and grappling exchanges.
Although Radtke recently suffered a first-round TKO loss to Carlos Prates, which could indicate susceptibility to early aggressive finishes, Semelsberger's recent fight history suggests he has the tools to capitalize on such vulnerabilities.
Despite Radtke's recent unanimous decision win against an opponent like Mike Diamond and having won 2 of his last 3 fights, his lack of significant statistical highlights and Semelsberger's more complete fighting style tilt the scales in favor of Semelsberger. Given these data points, the pick is Semelsberger with a 70% confidence level.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Matthew Semelsberger vs Charles Radtke can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Magny vs Prates can be found on the Magny vs Prates event page.