Magny vs Prates > Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin > Fight Analysis

Elizeu Zaleski vs Zach Scroggin: UFC Fight Analysis & Odds

Elizeu Zaleski vs Zach Scroggin: UFC Fight Analysis & Odds

Published

Mon Nov 11 2024

Last Updated

Mon Nov 11 2024

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin: Clash at the Welterweight Crossroads

Welcome to a thrilling showdown in the Welterweight Division, as seasoned Brazilian veteran Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is set to face off against the up-and-coming American prospect Zach Scroggin on November 9, 2024, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. This fight night, titled "Magny vs Prates," promises to deliver fireworks, and it's the kind of bout that piques the interest of both UFC fans and savvy sports bettors looking for the best UFC betting tips. Let's dive deeper into what makes this fight one of the most anticipated clashes on the preliminary card.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos enters the cage with a wealth of experience and a record of 24 wins, 8 losses, and 1 draw. Known for his explosive power, Zaleski boasts an impressive 14 wins by knockout, making him one of the most entertaining fighters to watch in the octagon. However, recent outings have been challenging for Zaleski, with his most recent losses coming by decision. At 37 years old, Zaleski is determined to prove that he still has what it takes to compete at the highest level and is not just a stepping stone for upcoming fighters.

On the opposite side of the octagon, Zach Scroggin steps into his UFC debut with an unblemished record of 7-0-0, showcasing his talents as a grappler who can finish fights on the ground. Nicknamed "The Giant Killer," despite his towering 6'3” frame, Scroggin's skills as a grappler are not to be underestimated, with two submission victories and three knockout wins in his young career. At 28, Scroggin represents the new wave of fighters who are well-rounded in their approach and hungry for success.

From a sports betting perspective, Zaleski is entering the fight as a heavy favorite with odds hovering around -700 with various bookmakers like BetMGM and Bovada. This is a testament to his experience and striking prowess. In contrast, Scroggin is considered a sizable underdog, with odds between +450 and +500 depending on where you bet, presenting an intriguing opportunity for those who love a high-risk, high-reward scenario.

The contrasting styles between these two fighters make this bout particularly interesting. It's a classic striker versus grappler matchup, with Zaleski relying on his ability to land significant strikes – boasting a 42% striking accuracy – and his knack for defending against takedowns with a 69% success rate. Scroggin, on the other hand, is looking to utilize his length and grappling expertise to control the fight tempo and keep the battle on the ground where he can thrive.

Whether you're tuning in for the sheer violence and unpredictability of an MMA fight, or you're strategically placing your bets, the Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin matchup is one not to miss. As we inch closer to fight night, the anticipation builds, and fans and bettors alike are poised to witness what could be the defining moment for either fighter's career arcs. Prepare for an electrifying encounter that could redefine the hierarchy in the Welterweight division.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Magny vs Prates can be found on the Magny vs Prates event page.

Fighter Profiles: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin

In the electrifying context of UFC matchups, the fascination often lies in the diverse paths fighters have walked to reach the octagon. The upcoming bout between Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Zach Scroggin is a testament to the interplay of experience versus potential, as both fighters step into the spotlight with distinct backgrounds, fighting styles, and recent performances.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: The Brazilian Dynamite

Born in Francisco Beltrao, Brazil, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is a seasoned contender in the Welterweight division, celebrated for his aggressive striking and tenacity. At 37 years old, Zaleski carries a rich tapestry of experience, having debuted in the UFC in May 2015. Known affectionately as "Capoeira" in homage to his multifaceted MMA fighting style, Zaleski is a force to reckon with, combining striking precision with knockout power, evidenced by his 14 wins by knockout.

In his recent form, however, Zaleski has encountered a mixed bag of results. Out of his last five fights, he's secured two wins and faced three losses, with notable victories against Abubakar Nurmagomedov and Benoit Saint Denis. Those performances were decisive and showcased his resilience and adaptability. Yet, recent losses to Randy Brown and Rinat Fakhretdinov underline vulnerabilities, particularly in decision-heavy contests where stamina and pacing become pivotal.

Zaleski's strengths are clear: His high significant strike accuracy of 42% allows him to connect effectively, while a takedown defense rate of 69% suggests he can keep the fight on his terms, often preferring to fight upright. However, his takedown accuracy at just 21% reveals an area for improvement, which could be a focal point exploited by grapplers like Scroggin.

Zach Scroggin: The Rising American Prospect

A fresh face to the UFC stage, Zach Scroggin, hails from Gainesville, United States, and at 28 years old, represents the new breed of fighters rising through the ranks. Standing tall at 6'3", Scroggin is a grappler by choice, but his record of 7-0-0 shows versatility, including three wins by knockout and two by submission, indicating a well-rounded approach to combat.

Scroggin is stepping into his UFC debut with a perfect professional record, weaving through competition with poise and precision. While his average fight time is yet to be defined at this level, he demonstrates an ability to finish early, with four first-round finishes accentuating his explosive entry into fights. His UFC debut is a litmus test for his grappling prowess and adaptability against elite strikers like Zaleski.

The American's strength undeniably lies in his grappling skills. But, given his statistical zeroes in significant strike accuracy and defense, there's a clear lack of data on his striking game, which could be both a vulnerability and an untapped potential. As he faces his most significant challenge yet in Zaleski, Scroggin will need to capitalize on his height advantage and grappling skills while showing development in defensive striking to counter Zaleski’s aggressive approach.

Both fighters bring their idiosyncrasies to the forefront of this matchup. For Zaleski, the edge lies in experience and striking, while Scroggin's grappling prowess and youthful energy provide a counterbalance. This clash of styles and backgrounds is a narrative as old as combat sports itself, a compelling storyline that betting fans should eagerly analyze in their UFC betting pursuits.

Deep Dive into the Odds: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin

When it comes to the Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zach Scroggin bout, the betting odds tell a fascinating story of experience versus potential. This matchup has captured the attention of betting enthusiasts worldwide, as the odds reveal insights into market expectations and potential profitable bets.

Current Odds Overview

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos sits comfortably as the favorite in this matchup. Various sportsbooks such as BetMGM and Bovada place his odds at approximately -700. In contrast, Zach Scroggin enters this fight as a significant underdog, with his odds ranging between +450 and +500 across multiple platforms like BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag.

The role of the underdog assigned to Scroggin is intriguing for bettors who thrive on spotting potential upsets. With potential multipliers at that level, laying a calculated wager on Scroggin provides an attractive risk for the reward-minded gambler, while Zaleski's role as the favorite offers a safer, albeit less lucrative, option.

Odds History and Bookmaker Trends

Delving into the odds history reveals intriguing movement across different sportsbooks. BetRivers appears quite dynamic with regular updates, adjusting lines significantly over time. For Zaleski, odds began near -550 at several bookies and shifted to around -700 closer to the fight, indicating increased market confidence in his experience and striking power.

Conversely, Scroggin's odds began at +400, with fluctuations mostly reflecting bettors' growing curiosity about his untapped potential and undefeated record. Bovada, in particular, reflects the most considerable change in odds, adjusting from +450 to +500, perhaps responding to betting volume shifts or insider insights.

If you’re putting down a $1,000 bet, here’s what you need to know:

  • Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: A $1,000 bet would yield a comparatively modest payout due to his status as the favorite. At odds of -700, your return would be approximately $1,142.86, including your initial stake.
  • Zach Scroggin: Betting on Scroggin at +500 odds for a $1,000 wager could net you a much more rewarding payout of around $6,000, including your original stake. This underlines the attraction of high-risk, high-reward bets.

Probability Insights

The implied probability based on Zaleski’s odds suggests a 87.5% likelihood of winning, indicating heavy market confidence in his ability to overcome his younger opponent. Meanwhile, Scroggin’s odds suggest roughly a 16.7% chance of victory, but as seasoned bettors know, the underdog's potential for upset is always an intriguing variable.

For bettors, it’s crucial to balance this data with individual fight assessments. If one were to choose Scroggin, BetOnline.ag is offering the most significant odds, while those backing Zaleski may consider LowVig.ag for the optimal terms. The fast-paced, ever-adjusting odds require sharp attention for those looking to dive deep into UFC betting strategies, positioning this fight as a spectacle both inside the octagon and at the betting window.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez