Winner: SuYoung You
Confidence Score: 75Upon analyzing both fighters' statistics and available data, SuYoung You seems to have the upper hand in this matchup. SuYoung You has a more extensive fight record of 13 wins and 3 losses compared to Baergeng Jieleyisi's 2 wins and 1 loss, indicating more experience in the octagon. Additionally, SuYoung You's record shows more versatility in finishing fights with 5 wins by submission and 3 by knockout, alongside 6 first-round finishes, suggesting a capability to end fights early and in various ways.
In terms of technical stats, SuYoung You has a higher significant strike defense percentage (65% vs. Jieleyisi's 47%), which could play a crucial role in avoiding damage and dictating the pace of the fight. While Baergeng Jieleyisi shows slightly better takedown accuracy (71% vs. You's 63%) and takedown defense (80% vs. You's 75%), these small advantages might not overcome the breadth of SuYoung You's experience and finishing ability.
Furthermore, SuYoung You is debuting in the UFC at this event, possibly adding an element of unpredictability and motivation. The confidence score of 75 reflects these factors, highlighting SuYoung You's experience, diverse skills, and statistical advantages, making him a likely candidate to win the bout.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Baergeng Jieleyisi vs SuYoung You can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Yan vs Figueiredo can be found on the Yan vs Figueiredo event page.