Winner: Grant Dawson
Confidence Score: 85Analyzing the provided data, Grant Dawson demonstrates key advantages that suggest a greater likelihood of victory. Dawson is younger at 30 compared to Ferreira's 38, which often correlates with better performance attributes such as endurance and speed. Dawson shows a strong grappling base with 13 wins via submission and a takedown accuracy of 39%, emphasizing his ability to control fights on the ground—a critical factor against Ferreira's 60% takedown defense. Additionally, Dawson's striking statistics indicate a significant edge, with a strike accuracy of 52% compared to Ferreira's 40%. While Ferreira has shown recent improvements with successive wins by KO/TKO, Dawson's comprehensive skillset and metrics suggest a more consistent and adaptable approach, making him the likely victor.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Grant Dawson vs Diego Ferreira can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Makhachev vs Moicano can be found on the Makhachev vs Moicano event page.