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Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj: UFC 311 Fight Analysis

Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj: UFC 311 Fight Analysis

Published

Sun Jan 05 2025

Last Updated

Sun Jan 05 2025

The Bantamweight Clash: Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj Showdown

Hold onto your hats, fight fans, because the UFC 311 event is bringing the heat with an electrifying bantamweight bout that's got all the makings of a classic showdown. Mark your calendars for January 18, 2025; the high-stakes Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj fight is set to light up the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. This early preliminary card clash is catching the attention of UFC betting enthusiasts and fight analysts alike with its tantalizing matchup.

In this highly anticipated fixture, we have Ricky Turcios from the United States bringing his unique freestyle fighting style to the octagon. Known for his relentless energy and tactical prowess, Turcios boasts a record of 13 wins and 4 losses. With his reliable experience, having begun his UFC journey back on July 11, 2017, he is no stranger to high-pressure fights. His stats show an intriguing set of skills, including a notable 38% significant strike accuracy coupled with a 55% significant strike defense. What bettors find fascinating about Turcios is his consistent performance with a recent split decision win against Kevin Natividad in November 2022.

On the other side of the octagon, we have Benardo Sopaj, the formidable Albanian fighter making waves since his UFC debut on December 5, 2024. With a record of 11 wins and 3 losses, Sopaj is a skilled mixed martial artist renowned for his striking prowess. Impressively, Sopaj has racked up 7 wins by knockout, underscoring his penchant for finishing the fight early, with an average fight time of 14 minutes and 41 seconds. His 52% significant strike accuracy and a whopping 75% takedown accuracy reveal a fighter who is both precise and powerful. UFC betting analysts are buzzing about Sopaj being a sturdy favorite with odds ranging from -298 to -350 across various sportsbooks like Caesars, FanDuel, and BetMGM.

The odds tell a compelling story all their own. With Sopaj entering the fight as the favorite, Turcios is positioned as a bold underdog, with his odds spanning from +240 to +285, depending on the bookmaker. This dynamic is what makes the Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj analysis so engrossing for bettors pondering whether Turcios can pull off an upset or if Sopaj will maintain his status quo with another decisive victory. Whether it's striking prowess conquering finesse, or whether strategic redemption quells brute force, the stage is set for a bout filled with tension, drama, and the kind of excitement that makes the UFC a global phenomenon.

UFC betting tips are lighting up forums with discussions about what each fighter needs to do to secure a victory. Sopaj's heavy-handed style versus Turcios's tactical resilience makes for an unpredictable war in the cage, promising a competition that could leave fans and bettors on the edge of their seats. Stay tuned, because this clash of styles and wills promises not just entertainment but a betting prospect that's too intriguing to pass up.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Makhachev vs Moicano can be found on the Makhachev vs Moicano event page.

Fighter Profiles: Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj

Ricky Turcios

Meet Ricky Turcios, the spirited bantamweight hailing from Houston, United States. At 31 years old, Turcios combines experience and enthusiasm, showcasing a freestyle fighting style that keeps his opponents guessing. Since his UFC debut back in July 2017, Turcios has carved out a respectable career with a record standing at 13 wins and 4 losses. While he may not be the most decorated knockout artist, with only 3 wins by knockout and 1 by submission, his ability to endure and adapt is where he truly shines.

Turcios's recent fight history reveals his resilience in the octagon. In his last five bouts, he emerged victorious twice, both by split decision against Brady Hiestand in August 2021 and Kevin Natividad in November 2022. However, he faced challenges against Raul Rosas Jr., succumbing to a submission loss in June 2024, a unanimous decision loss to Aiemann Zahabi in July 2022, and a defeat by decision against Boston Salmon back in 2017. These outcomes illustrate a fighter whose bouts often go the distance, highlighting his tenacity and tactical acumen.

Strengths and weaknesses become evident when digging into Turcios's fighting statistics. With a significant strike accuracy of 38% and a higher defense rate at 55%, Turcios demonstrates a balanced approach, prioritizing defense and counter-attacks. However, his 25% takedown accuracy and 45% takedown defense reveal potential vulnerabilities, especially against an opponent with a strong ground game.

Benardo Sopaj

Enter Benardo Sopaj, the 24-year-old rising star from Albania, whose aggressive MMA style has quickly made him a formidable presence in the bantamweight division. Despite being relatively new to the UFC scene, having debuted in December 2024, Sopaj has compiled an impressive record of 11 wins and only 3 losses. His striking ability stands out with 7 of those victories coming by knockout, underscoring his capacity to end fights decisively and often early with 7 first-round finishes.

Analyzing Sopaj’s recent form presents a mixed bag. His sole recent loss came against Vinicius Oliveira via KO/TKO in March 2024, showcasing a chink in his otherwise aggressive armor. However, Sopaj's history of first-round finishes and a decisive fighting approach suggests he's more than capable of bouncing back from setbacks swiftly.

Sopaj's strengths lie heavily in his offensive capabilities. With a remarkable 52% significant strike accuracy and a staggering 75% takedown success rate, his ability to control the pace and outcome of battles is impressive. Nonetheless, his 53% significant strike defense and 50% takedown defense do hint at areas that more strategic opponents might exploit.

In their upcoming fight, Turcios’s experience and defensive prowess will be pitted against Sopaj’s youth and striking aggression. While Turcios might aim to weather the early storm and capitalize on Sopaj's defensive gaps, Sopaj will look to assert his dominance through precise, powerful striking and effective takedowns. This clash of age and tactics makes this fight a captivating spectacle for fight fans and UFC betting enthusiasts.

Betting Odds and Trends: Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj

When it comes to the Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj fight, the betting odds present a thrilling narrative for punters keen on maximizing their stakes. As the showdown approaches, sportsbooks have painted a vivid picture, clearly defining each fighter's standing in the eyes of bettors. In this matchup, Benardo Sopaj takes the spotlight as the favorite, with odds stacked in his favor across multiple platforms, while Ricky Turcios steps in as the underdog, offering intriguing opportunities for high-reward wagers.

Current Betting Odds

For those placing bets, it’s evident that Sopaj has been given the nod by bookmakers. As of now, his odds range from -298 at DraftKings to an impressive -350 at BetOnline.ag and BetMGM. This suggests a bookie consensus that Sopaj is more likely to secure victory, with his explosive fighting style and knockout power resonating with punters globally. On the flip side, Ricky Turcios's odds fluctuate between +240 on DraftKings and FanDuel to a noteworthy +285 at BetOnline.ag. This positioning as the underdog makes Turcios a potentially lucrative bet for those willing to back him based on his experience and endurance.

Odds History Insights

Delving into the odds history reveals which sports books are most active in updating their numbers to reflect the betting market's movements. Notably, Bovada has exhibited consistent adjustments, reflecting changes as often as daily, signaling its responsiveness to market conditions and user activities. Among all, BetOnline.ag has shown the most dynamic changes in their odds, steadily progressing Sopaj from an initial -300 to the current -350, highlighting a growing confidence in his chances.

Betting Payout Potential

Let's consider if a fan decided to drop a cool $1,000 on this bout. Betting on Sopaj with DraftKings at -298 would yield a return of approximately $335, making the payout $1,335. Alternatively, backing Turcios at BetOnline.ag with odds of +285 presents a payout of $3,850 should an upset occur—a tempting prospect for those convinced of his ability to turn the tables.

In terms of implied probabilities, Sopaj's odds suggest a strong likelihood of victory, hovering around 75-78% across platforms, which fits with the books’ confidence in his fight-ending capabilities. Contrastingly, Turcios's long-shot odds reflect a probability just below 30%, underscoring both his perceived vulnerabilities and potential appeal to those seeking a high-risk, high-reward wager.

When deciding the best sportsbook for your bets, consider BetOnline.ag if you're aiming to maximize winnings while rooting for Turcios. However, those favoring Sopaj might seek DraftKings or Bovada, both offering slightly better odds for payouts.

As you weigh your options, remember that betting odds in the UFC reflect not only raw data but also the dynamic shifts in fight fans' perceptions. Keep your eyes peeled on bookmaker updates in the days leading up to the fight, as late changes could inform smarter betting strategies and ensure that whether it's Sopaj's ferocity or Turcios's grit, your wager aligns with the fight's unfolding drama.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez