Winner: Roman Kopylov
Confidence Score: 70The analysis of Chris Curtis vs Roman Kopylov suggests that Roman Kopylov is more likely to win this matchup. Several key factors contribute to this prediction.
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Recent Momentum and Fight History: Roman Kopylov has shown impressive form, with a series of knockout (KO/TKO) victories against fighters like Josh Fremd and Claudio Ribeiro. Despite a recent loss to Anthony Hernandez by submission, he bounced back with a decision win over Cesar Almeida. His KO/TKO capabilities indicate powerful striking abilities, which have been his main method of victory.
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Striking Efficiency: Kopylov has a significant strike accuracy of 54% and a defense rate of 58%, slightly higher than Curtis's striking accuracy of 51% and defense rate of 53%. This suggests Kopylov might be more precise and defensively sound in striking exchanges.
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Takedown Game: While Curtis has no recorded success in takedown attempts, Kopylov has a takedown accuracy of 54% and a solid takedown defense of 87%. This indicates he can defend against wrestling and grapple efficiently, somewhat negating any potential wrestling advantage Curtis might attempt to leverage.
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Physical Attributes: Kopylov's height advantage (72 inches compared to Curtis's 70 inches) might provide him better reach in striking exchanges. Although both fighters have similar arm reach, Kopylov's leg reach is marginally better which can aid in maintaining distance or mixing up striking.
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Kopylov's Recent Performance: Kopylov's wins have mostly come through KO/TKO, displaying consistent knockout power, a crucial aspect, especially against a fighter like Curtis, who can be finished by such strikes.
In summary, considering their recent fight records, physical stats, and skills in striking, Roman Kopylov seems to have a better chance of winning this bout. However, the confidence level is set at 70% due to Curtis's experience and unpredictability that comes with veteran fighters, as his long MMA career indicates considerable experience and adaptability.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Chris Curtis vs Roman Kopylov can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dern vs Ribas 2 can be found on the Dern vs Ribas 2 event page.