Winner: Jose Johnson
Confidence Score: 70In analyzing the fight between Jose Johnson and Felipe Bunes, several factors point towards Jose Johnson having the upper hand.
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Records and Recent Performance:
- Jose Johnson has a professional record of 16 wins to 9 losses, with a notable 8 wins by knockout and 3 by submission. Felipe Bunes holds a 13-7 record, heavily relying on his grappling with 8 submissions. However, Bunes is coming off a recent TKO loss to Joshua Van, which could impact his momentum negatively. Meanwhile, Johnson’s performance metrics indicate he can fight effectively over a longer duration, implying better cardio and endurance, given his longer average fight time of 12:43 compared to Bunes' 9:31.
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Striking Statistics:
- Johnson possesses a better significant strike accuracy at 58%, alongside a better significant strike defense at 53%. These metrics suggest he is both accurate in his striking and capable of defending against incoming strikes effectively. These advantages in the stand-up will be critical against Bunes, who has a lower striking defense at 41%.
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Height and Reach Advantage:
- Jose Johnson boasts significant physical advantages with a height of 72 inches and an arm reach of 72.5 inches, both considerably larger than Bunes, who stands at 66.97 inches with an undefined reach. This reach advantage allows Johnson to land strikes from a distance effectively and keep Bunes at bay, particularly important against a submission specialist.
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Takedown Efficiency:
- Jose Johnson's superior takedown accuracy at 60% suggests he can control where the fight takes place, which is crucial against a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist like Bunes. Although his takedown defense is low, his offensive grappling could be utilized to gain advantageous positions or transitions back to striking.
Overall, these elements suggest that Jose Johnson is likely to utilize his striking, physical advantages, and tactical use of takedowns to control the fight, making him the favorite in this matchup with a confidence score of 70.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jose Johnson vs Felipe Bunes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dern vs Ribas 2 can be found on the Dern vs Ribas 2 event page.