Winner: Jake Matthews
Confidence Score: 85Based on the data provided, Jake Matthews has shown a more robust set of skills and experience in the UFC, including a significantly longer tenure and higher-level competition faced. Matthews' grappling ability, as indicated by his takedown accuracy and defense statistics, along with notable striking defense and accuracy, gives him an edge against Francisco Prado, particularly because Prado has shown susceptibility in his takedown defense and relies heavily on his striking. Additionally, Matthews' reach advantage and more extensive fighting background suggest he can control the fight's pace and range, enhancing his likelihood of winning. Matthews is also less likely to succumb to one-dimensional threats, adding to his favorability in this match-up.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 can be found on the Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 event page.