Pereira vs Ankalaev > King Green vs Mauricio Ruffy > Fight Analysis

King Green vs Mauricio Ruffy: UFC Betting Analysis & Odds

King Green vs Mauricio Ruffy: UFC Betting Analysis & Odds

Published

Sat Mar 01 2025

Last Updated

Sat Mar 01 2025

King's Gambit vs. Ruffy's Rampage: A Closer Look at the UFC Lightweight Showdown

Ladies and gentlemen, buckle up for an electrifying night of action as UFC 313 storms into the iconic T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on March 9, 2025. This particular card boasts a variety of exhilarating matchups, but the spotlight is firmly set on a thrilling Lightweight clash—King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy. With high stakes and intense competition, this bout offers the perfect storm for dedicated fans and savvy bettors. Dive into the tales of these warriors and why this matchup is the talk of the town, offering tantalizing UFC betting tips you won't want to miss.

King Green, the seasoned veteran hailing from San Bernardino, USA, enters the octagon as a formidable force in mixed martial arts. Boasting a storied career with 49 professional fights (32 wins, 16 losses, and 1 draw), Green brings a wealth of experience, coupled with a versatile fighting style. His recent track record features a rollercoaster of outcomes—highlighting a notable victory through a first-round KO/TKO against Grant Dawson, amidst some challenging matches against elite fighters like Paddy Pimblett and Jalin Turner. At 37, King Green packs dynamism and sheer determination, but he's certainly an underdog for the bookmakers, with odds such as +430 (via Caesars), +400 (via BetMGM, DraftKings, and BetOnline.ag), and +390 (via Bovada) positioning him as a long shot. Potentially, this offers a lucrative opportunity for those willing to bet on an upset.

Beyond the corner of King Green stands his fierce opponent, Mauricio Ruffy. Emerging from the prolific fighting grounds of São Paulo, Brazil, Ruffy is a striking specialist in the Lightweight division. With an impressive record of 11 wins and just 1 loss, Ruffy's arsenal is power-packed, with a staggering 10 victories by knockout. Spotlighted by his debut knockout win against Jamie Mullarkey, Ruffy's star is certainly on the rise. With betting odds such as -535 (via DraftKings) and -550 (via BetMGM and Bovada), Ruffy is the clear favorite. His significant strike accuracy is an exceptional 59%, and he holds the advantage of a longer reach (75 inches compared to Green's 71 inches). Mauricio's youthful athleticism combined with his fearsome striking prowess, including a flawless takedown defense, make him the fighter to watch.

This matchup isn't just a classic young gun meets veteran tale. It's a dynamic collision between technical mastery and resilient experience, serving as a proving ground for Ruffy’s burgeoning potential against Green’s seasoned resilience. The fight offers an epic showdown in this weight class, promising not just pure excitement but compelling angles for strategic betting. As fans and bettors gear up for this showdown, keep your eyes peeled and your wagers ready—this fight is set to redefine narratives and could very well make or break betting strategies in the UFC universe.

Prepare for an unforgettable event, as the King's gambit takes on Ruffy's rampage under the bright Vegas lights, setting the stage for dramatic triumphs, feats of endurance, and possibly, a surprising twist or two! Don't miss a second of this thrilling event that’s sure to captivate fans and bettors alike, spotlighting the finest the UFC has to offer!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for King Green vs Mauricio Ruffy can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pereira vs Ankalaev can be found on the Pereira vs Ankalaev event page.

Fighter Profiles: Unpacking King Green and Mauricio Ruffy

In the heart of the Lightweight division clash at UFC 313, we have two fighters destined to etch their names deeper into the annals of MMA—King Green and Mauricio Ruffy. Both have carved unique paths through the octagon, and as their stories converge in Las Vegas, we're diving deep into what makes each fighter tick. So, let's delve into their backgrounds, recent fight forms, and an analytical breakdown of their strengths and weaknesses—elements crucial for UFC betting enthusiasts and fight fans diving into King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy analysis.

King Green: The Tenacious Veteran from the USA

At 37 years old, King Green stands as a seasoned pillar in the MMA community. Born in the lively streets of San Bernardino, United States, Green boasts a comprehensive resume filled with 32 wins, 16 losses, and 1 draw. His fighting style is a colorful blend of MMA disciplines, showcasing adaptability and tactical acumen developed over a long career. Despite his age, Green has remained an active competitor, albeit with mixed results in recent outings.

Green's last five bouts reflect his fighting spirit and resilience. Amidst this rollercoaster, a strong performance led to a dominant first-round KO/TKO victory against Grant Dawson, while a gritty win against Jim Miller through unanimous decision highlighted his enduring competence. However, King Green has shown vulnerabilities with submission losses against opponents like Paddy Pimblett and Jalin Turner, pressing his need to tighten defenses against ground specialists.

Mauricio Ruffy: The Brazilian Dynamized Striker

Mauricio Ruffy, at 28, emerges from Brazil’s rich fighting culture as a dynamic striker with a laser focus on dominating the Lightweight division. Representing the State of São Paulo, Ruffy's career is highlighted by a near-perfect record of 11 wins and 1 loss, with 10 victories attributed to knockouts, underscoring his lethal striking ability. His fighting style, deeply rooted in striking, has served him well since his UFC debut in 2024.

Ruffy's recent performance showcases his momentum, starting with a memorable debut against Jamie Mullarkey via KO/TKO and continuing with a unanimous decision victory over James Llontop. His offensive prowess is complemented by remarkable defensive stats, including a significant strike defense rate of 61% and a flawless takedown defense, underscoring his capacity to maintain stand-up dominance.

Strengths and Weaknesses

King Green's strengths lie in his versatile approach and experience. With 11 first-round finishes, he can start strong and catch opponents off-guard. His striking accuracy sits at a formidable 53%, and he boasts a takedown accuracy of 40%. However, his weaknesses include a susceptibility to submissions and a dwindling gas tank due to age, reducing his edge in prolonged ground exchanges.

Conversely, Mauricio Ruffy's dominant striking presence and youth provide a significant advantage. His striking accuracy is higher at 59%, coupled with extreme efficacy in first-round finishes. Yet, his penchant for a striking-only approach leaves potential gaps in grappling exchanges, with a 0% takedown accuracy, meaning he does not frequently pursue ground fighting.

In summary, this matchup is a compelling blend of experience against youth, and dynamism against tactical versatility. For bettors and fans alike, understanding these fighter profiles offers crucial insights and angles for developing their UFC betting tips for this exciting showdown. As the two titans prepare to collide, all eyes will be on how their distinct qualities shape the action in the octagon.

Decoding the Odds: Betting on King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy

As the clock inches closer to the awaited King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy showdown at UFC 313, the buzz around betting odds is intensifying. For seasoned bettors and UFC aficionados, understanding the nuances of betting odds and trends is as critical as the fight itself. So, let's dive into the latest odds, uncovering the underdog narrative, sportsbook battles, and potential payouts for those ready to place a bet.

Current Betting Landscape

Mauricio Ruffy is the favorite, given his meteoric rise and impressive win record. The odds reflect his formidable Octagon presence: -535 with DraftKings, -550 with heavyweights like BetMGM and Bovada, even peaking at -600 via Caesars. These odds assert Ruffy's dominant standing, hinting that oddsmakers see him as a safer bet. However, his position paints King Green as the underdog—a dark horse capable of pivotal upsets.

On the flip side, King Green's odds of +430 at Caesars, +370 at FanDuel, and +400 across various other books, position him as a potential goldmine for risk-takers. Despite the odds against him, King’s veteran resilience cannot be overlooked. For savvy bettors, Green’s odds provide an enticing high-reward opportunity, should he defy expectations.

Sportsbooks: Odds Movement and Recommendations

Not all sportsbooks are created equal—each offers unique odds and updates with varying frequency. Notably, Caesars has been among the fastest in updating odds, especially with Ruffy's peak favorability at -600. In contrast, BetMGM and DraftKings offer slightly steadier odds, suggesting a consensus in Ruffy's perceived favorability. However, FanDuel has shown noticeable shifts, particularly in underdog odds for King Green, proving intriguing for monitoring progression in real-time.

The Payout Potential Story

For those contemplating laying down $1,000 on either fighter, the potential payout narrative adds another layer to betting strategy. Betting on Ruffy, with odds hovering around -550, means you would win roughly $182—highlighting a low-risk, low-return punt. Conversely, supporting King Green at +400 yields a payout of $4,000, underscoring the high-risk, high-reward game.

Probability Insights & Strategic Considerations

The betting odds provide an embedded probability snapshot without needing elaborate math—Ruffy's negative odds suggest a high win probability in the eyes of bookmakers, potentially north of 80%. Meanwhile, Green's odds, translating to a win probability under 20%, underscore the long-shot scenario.

In sum, the King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy bout isn't just about clashing fists but strategic wagering maneuvers. As you weave your betting narrative through this compelling UFC landscape, calibrate whether you'd rather play it safe with Ruffy or gamble on Green upsetting the applecart. Each option comes with its own set of risks and rewards, poised to challenge the acumen of even the most seasoned UFC sports gambler.

For those seeking to engage in this adrenaline-charged betting field, understanding these odds and the subtle shifts in the sportsbook echo chamber is essential. Fasten your seatbelts, place your bets, and prepare for the electrifying possibilities that await in the thrilling realm of UFC betting during King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez