Moreno vs Erceg > Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas > Fight Analysis

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas: Fight Analysis & Odds

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas: Fight Analysis & Odds

Published

Mon Mar 24 2025

Last Updated

Mon Mar 24 2025

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas – A Battle in the Flyweight Division

As the octagon gets set up in the electrifying atmosphere of Arena CDMX, Mexico City, all eyes are on the upcoming UFC fight featuring Ronaldo Rodriguez and Kevin Borjas. Scheduled for March 29, 2025, this flyweight clash is positioned as a highlight of the main card in the Moreno vs. Erceg event. Whether you're a dedicated fight fan or a strategic bettor on the prowl for the latest UFC betting tips, this matchup promises a spectacular showcase of contrasting fighting styles and thrilling cage dynamics.

Ronaldo Rodriguez, a polished striker hailing from the vibrant lands of Chiapas, Mexico, steps into the ring with a formidable record of 18 wins and only 2 losses. His journey in the UFC so far has been nothing short of impressive, with his most recent decisive win being a unanimous decision against Ode Osbourne. Known for his artillery of 7 knockouts and 5 submissions, Rodriguez combines technical striking with ground proficiency, boasting a 45% significant strike accuracy and an equally impressive 50% takedown accuracy. As he prepares to defend his territory on home soil, UFC fans and analysts are eager to see how his strategic brilliance will unfold.

Across from him in the blue corner, Kevin Borjas from Peru is ready to prove himself as a formidable contender. Though his recent form has seen him grappling with a couple of tough losses, Kevin's knack for turning a fight around remains undeterred. With a 9-3-0 record, Borjas specializes in delivering heavy blows, evidenced by his 8 wins by knockout. While his first-round finishes (5) are a testament to his explosive starts, his significant strike accuracy stands at 40%, posing a unique challenge for Rodriguez to maneuver past.

The betting odds are abuzz with activity, a clear indication of the excitement surrounding this fight. Currently, Ronaldo Rodriguez is seen as the favorite with odds oscillating between -145 and -170 across multiple sportsbooks like BetMGM and FanDuel, reflecting his consistent performance inside the ring. Meanwhile, Kevin Borjas is no underdog to be underestimated, with odds ranging from +122 to +140, suggesting that the road to victory is not entirely out of reach for the Peruvian mauler.

This riveting confrontation between Rodriguez and Borjas is not just a fight; it's a complex chess game of strength, precision, and tactics. As we inch closer to the fight night, fans and bettors alike are on the edge, speculating how each fighter's strategy might swing the results. Will Rodriguez capitalize on his home advantage and polished skill set? Or does Kevin Borjas have a crafty trick up his sleeve to pull off an upset? Stick around for more updates and analyses on this pulsating showdown that promises to add another thrilling chapter to the UFC lore.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Erceg can be found on the Moreno vs Erceg event page.

Fighter Profiles: Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas

As we delve deeper into the Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas analysis, understanding the profile of each fighter provides valuable context for bettors and fans keen on grasping the nuances of this clash. From their backgrounds, fighting styles, to recent forms, both Rodriguez and Borjas bring distinct attributes and strategies to the octagon.

Ronaldo Rodriguez: The Mexican Striker

Ronaldo Rodriguez, at 25 years of age, proudly represents Mexico as he stands tall from Chiapas. Known for his striking prowess, Rodriguez made his UFC debut in February 2024 and has since developed a reputation as a versatile and calculated fighter. His fighting style primarily revolves around striking, but his arsenal is well-rounded with a capacity for submissions, supported by a track record of 7 wins by knockout and 5 by submission.

In his recent form, Rodriguez has been on a promising trajectory. He most recently secured a unanimous decision win against Ode Osbourne in September 2024, following an impressive submission victory over Denys Bondar in his debut. These victories highlight his ability to dominate opponents across different fight modalities, leveraging both his striking and ground skills.

Analyzing Rodriguez's strengths reveals his 45% significant strike accuracy, attesting to his precise striking ability, combined with a remarkable 50% takedown accuracy, pointing to his tactical adaptability in fights. However, his 47% significant strike defense indicates room for improvement in his defensive tactics, posing vulnerabilities against aggressive strikers.

Kevin Borjas: The Peruvian Powerhouse

Kevin Borjas, 26, hails from Lima, Peru, and embodies the spirit of a knockout artist. Making his UFC debut in November 2023, Borjas quickly demonstrated his penchant for explosive fights, securing 8 of his 9 victories by knockout. While his recent bouts saw losses against Alessandro Costa and Joshua Van, Borjas' potential for a comeback remains strong, given his past performances that showcased his ability to finish fights in dramatic fashion.

Borjas is fundamentally an aggressive fighter, with a penchant for first-round finishes, having achieved this on 5 occasions. However, his recent form, including the knockout loss to Costa and a unanimous decision loss to Van, highlights challenges in maintaining momentum against all-rounded fighters.

Strength-wise, Borjas' 40% significant strike accuracy and his sheer knockout power make him a dangerous opponent, capable of turning the tide with a single strike. However, with a 0% takedown accuracy and a takedown defense of 61%, he appears susceptible against fighters who can outmaneuver him on the ground. Moreover, his 49% significant strike defense underscores the need for heightened vigilance against precise strikers like Rodriguez.

Summary

Both fighters bring unique strengths and weaknesses to this encounter. Rodriguez's striking precision and adaptable fight approach make him a formidable opponent, especially when combined with his takedown ability. On the other hand, Borjas' knockout power and early-round aggression present a clear threat, despite his vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges and defensive coverage.

With this analysis, fans and bettors can better anticipate the dynamics of the Rodriguez vs. Borjas bout. The stakes are high, and as both fighters aim to solidify their standing in the flyweight division, their contrasting profiles promise a fight brimming with intrigue and excitement. Keep these profiles in mind as the countdown to fight night continues.

Betting Odds and History: Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas

When it comes to laying a wager on the UFC’s flyweight showdown between Ronaldo Rodriguez and Kevin Borjas, understanding the odds could be your golden ticket. The current betting landscape paints an interesting picture, offering insights into the dynamics at play and helping bettors on the quest for profitable UFC betting tips.

Current Odds Overview

As we look into the odds offered by leading sportsbooks, Ronaldo Rodriguez emerges as the favorite, with a spectrum of odds between -145 and -170. This reflects a favored probability of Rodriguez securing the victory, rewarding bettors with a risk-sensitive rate of return. Meanwhile, Kevin Borjas sits in the underdog seat with his odds ranging from +122 to +140, which not only indicates his lesser probability but also the potential for a higher payout should he triumph on fight night.

Let's say you're feeling risky and decide to place a $1000 bet on Borjas with the best odds available at +140. Should Borjas pull off the upset, you stand to pocket $2400 in total. Conversely, putting that same $1000 on Rodriguez at the more lucrative -145 odds nets you a total of $1689.66 should he emerge victorious. The margins help visualize how sportsbooks value each fighter's chances.

Sportsbooks in Focus

Tracking the sportsbooks, BetMGM and FanDuel consistently offer competitive odds attributes to Rodriguez's favored status pegged at -170 and -166, respectively. Should you wager on Rodriguez, these are among the top choices for enticing odds and reliability.

On the flipside, Caesars stands out for Borjas enthusiasts, presenting a steeper +122, which, while not the highest, provides compelling exposure without excessive risk, as reflected in fluctuating odds that have seen changes from +125 to +122 in recent days.

BetOnline.ag manifests as one of the most dynamic players based on historical odds fluctuations. This sportsbook exhibits consistent updating, as reflected in recent oscillations for Borjas peaking at +145 before recent adjustments to a still-enticing +126. For bettors desiring flexibility and keen on seizing the optimal betting window, tracking activity here can be pivotal.

Probability Insights

The odds paint a story of probability and strategy for savvy bettors. Rodriguez, standing at -145 to -170, is seen by analysts as having a favored probability that hovers north of 55%. This implies a reliability factor for risk-averse bettors who believe in historical form and consistency. On the other hand, Borjas, at +122 to +140, hints at an implied probability slightly below 43%, typical of an underdog poised to disrupt predictions with a decisive blow.

As fight night approaches, these odds and their histories will shift, reflecting bettor sentiment and strategic movements from potential late injuries or weigh-in surprises. It's a tale of two sides – classic versus wild card – where every bet lays the grounds for potential upsets and substantial gains.

In the end, this Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas betting odds analysis arms you with actionable insights. As bettors weigh their options, keeping a keen eye on both current odds and their trajectories ensures every wager is informed, strategic, and ready to maximize returns in the world of UFC betting.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez