Moreno vs Erceg > Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara > Fight Analysis

Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara: UFC Betting Odds & Analysis

Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara: UFC Betting Odds & Analysis

Published

Mon Mar 24 2025

Last Updated

Mon Mar 24 2025

Edgar Chairez vs. CJ Vergara: The Clash of Flyweights

Gear up for a thrilling showdown in the Flyweight division as Edgar Chairez squares off against CJ Vergara, unfolding at the heart of México D.F at the iconic Arena CDMX. This intriguing encounter is scheduled to electrify the Preliminary Card during the UFC event on March 29, 2025, aptly headlined by the Moreno vs. Erceg clash. Set to commence at 8:10 PM UTC, this fight promises to be one to watch as these contenders battle to make significant strides in their UFC journeys.

When it comes to UFC betting tips and fight predictions, this matchup offers plenty of compelling angles. Edgar Chairez enters the octagon as a bookmaker favorite with his odds hovering around an average of -290, showcasing strong support from the betting community. His journey in the UFC has been marked by an impressive ability to finish fights early, evidenced by his record of 8 first-round finishes. With a fighting style that has led him to secure 4 victories via knockout and 7 by submission, Chairez remains a constant threat both on his feet and on the ground.

On the other hand, CJ Vergara, representing the United States, steps into the cage as the underdog with odds running from +220 to +250 across various platforms. Despite recent losses against formidable opponents such as Ramazan Temirov and Assu Almabayev, Vergara brings to the table a proven knockout capability, having secured 7 of his 12 wins via KO. His aggressive "Freestyle" fighting style and 68-inch reach advantage can make a significant impact in dictating the pace of the fight against Chairez.

The stats tell a story of contrasting approaches. Chairez boasts a solid 45% in significant strike accuracy, paired with a 42% defense, while Vergara counters with a higher strike accuracy of 57% and 53% in defensive stats. Although neither fighter has excelled in takedowns, both have shown resilience and adaptability in various combat scenarios, underscoring their freestyle adaptability in the octagon.

As the fight night looms, the sizzle surrounding this bout only intensifies, particularly in terms of potential betting outcomes. Will Chairez’s submission savviness prevail, or can Vergara leverage his striking prowess to cause an upset? Fans and bettors are keenly watching the odds, analyzing past performances and fighter strategies in pursuit of finding that winning edge in the Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara analysis.

For those eager to play the odds, betting experts recommend closely monitoring any fluctuations in lines and making informed decisions based on fighters’ previous outings and stylistic tendencies. As we edge closer to the face-off, one thing is assured: this clash promises not only to ignite the flyweight division but also to captivate fight fans and savvy bettors alike with its potential for dramatic turns and unexpected upheavals.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Erceg can be found on the Moreno vs Erceg event page.

Fighter Profiles: Edgar Chairez vs. CJ Vergara

Edgar Chairez: The Mexican Submission Specialist

Hailing from Baja California, Mexico, Edgar Chairez is a rising star in the UFC’s Flyweight division. At 28, Chairez steps into the octagon not just with youth on his side but an impressive track record of explosive finishes. His freestyle fighting style leans heavily on his versatility, effectively translating into a dangerous submission game, underpinning his 7 submission victories thus far.

In his recent UFC bout roster, Chairez experienced some ups and downs. His last three outings saw him incur a controversial overturned decision against Daniel Da Silva, followed by a submission win against the same opponent earlier this year in the first round, demonstrating his acute submission capability. However, despite his skills, he suffered a unanimous decision loss to rising contender Tatsuro Taira and a more recent undetermined loss to Joshua Van, showing vulnerabilities when matches go beyond his comfort of early finishes.

Analyzing Edgar’s strengths, it becomes evident that his 45% significant strike accuracy and formidable submission abilities make him a multifaceted threat. On the flip side, his Takedown Defense, standing at a modest 33%, could be a strategic point of exploitation for opponents looking to neutralize his striking and submission game. A fighter who thrives early in bouts, with 8 first-round finishes under his belt, Chairez’s key to victory lies in quick and decisive action.

CJ Vergara: The American Striker

On the opposing side, CJ Vergara, representing Laredo, Texas, USA, brings his freestyle approach and an undisputed penchant for knockouts into the ring. At 33, Vergara’s career journey reflects his gritty determination, amassing 7 knockout wins out of 12 victories. Built with a slightly lesser height but possessing a significant arm reach at 68 inches, Vergara’s physical dimensions suit his aggressive stand-up style crafted for dominating striking exchanges.

Vergara’s recent form features a mixed bag of performances. He secured a noteworthy decision win against Vinicius Salvador, but his last few outings against Assu Almabayev and Ramazan Temirov culminated in a decision and a TKO loss respectively, highlighting periods of inconsistency and raising questions on his defensive strategies.

Strength-wise, Vergara’s 57% significant strike accuracy and notably higher 53% striking defense show competence in stand-up exchanges, posing challenges for opponents leaning towards striking duels. Nevertheless, with a 0% Take Down Accuracy and a 61% Takedown Defense, his game appears one-dimensional, lacking a pronounced ground game element, and could be exploited by fighters well-versed in submissions.

Navigating through strengths and weaknesses, both Chairez and Vergara present an intriguing stylistic dance. Chairez’s ability to capitalize on submission missteps could counterbalance his defensive frailties, while Vergara’s scoring accuracy in striking potentially holds leverage in stand-up engagements. As these profiles converge, expect an extraordinary mix of power, precision, and possibly, pivotal moments destined to define their careers’ next paths in the UFC Flyweight tapestry. For fans and bettors focusing on the fighter analysis, there’s much to ponder on how each will deploy their unique strengths against emerging vulnerabilities, ultimately shaping the bout’s outcome.

Betting Odds and Their Impact: Edgar Chairez vs. CJ Vergara

As fight night inches closer, the betting lines for Edgar Chairez vs. CJ Vergara are attracting keen attention from UFC bettors and fighting enthusiasts alike. Edgar Chairez, stepping into the octagon as the favorite, commands average odds around -290 across major sportsbooks such as FanDuel and BetOnline.ag. This positions CJ Vergara as the underdog with odds ranging from +220 to +250 across the board, suggesting a potential upset payout that could appeal to risk-takers.

In terms of historical odds movement, FanDuel and Bovada have been quite active, reflecting consistent updates indicating market sentiment shifts. Notably, BetOnline.ag has shown significant fluctuations, especially for CJ Vergara, with odds ranging from +185 to +275 in recent weeks. This variability underscores a volatile perception of Vergara's chances, which could either be an opportunity or a red flag, depending on one’s betting strategy.

If you're considering laying down a hefty wager of $1000, let's break down what that could yield. Betting on Chairez with -290 odds would net you a profit of around $344 should he secure the victory. Conversely, placing the same amount on Vergara at +250 odds gives you the possibility of a much larger payout of $2,500, should the underdog rise to the occasion.

In terms of probability, the odds imply that Chairez has approximately a 74% chance of winning, reflecting strong confidence from the betting community backed by his past success in quick finishes. On the other hand, Vergara’s potential upset carries a probability of about 26%, suggesting that while an upset is less likely, it’s far from impossible, considering his KO power and his tenacity in striking exchanges.

For bettors evaluating which sportsbook to opt for, DraftKings and BetMGM currently offer favorable lines for respective wagers on Vergara, reflecting competitive odds against a backdrop of fluctuating perceptions. On the other hand, Caesars and BetRivers provide stable and generally predictable odds for Chairez, appealing to those confident in backing the favorites.

Taking into account the continuous updates and odds shifts, keeping a close eye on real-time movements is crucial to capitalize on the most value-driven opportunities pre-fight. Efficient bet management involves balancing risk and reward, an enticing proposition considering the odds’ alignment with each fighter’s distinct capabilities and tactical inclinations. As these odds paint a dynamic picture leading up to the clash, the excitement of betting on the Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara fight extends beyond the cage, inviting strategic wagers and potentially rewarding speculations. Whether you’re visualizing a Chairez submission or a Vergara knockout, the stakes remain high in this enthralling bout that embodies both challenge and the allure of potentially lucrative returns.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez