Winner: Jon Jones
Confidence Score: 85Jon Jones possesses a formidable record of 27-1-0, indicating his ability to consistently win against top-tier opponents. His significant strike accuracy stands at 58%, and his significant strike defense is a remarkable 64%, both of which are higher than Stipe Miocic's figures. Jones' takedown defense is exceptionally high at 95%, meaning it will be difficult for Miocic, who has a lower takedown accuracy of 34%, to implement a wrestling-heavy game plan. Moreover, Jones has a significant reach advantage with an 84.5-inch reach compared to Miocic’s 80 inches, which allows him to maintain range and avoid engaging in unfavorable exchanges. Jon Jones is also much younger at 35 compared to Miocic's 42, which can be a decisive factor considering the wear and tear in heavyweights at this age. Jon Jones is also currently riding a potent momentum following his victory over Ciryl Gane in March 2023, whereas Miocic hasn't fought since his loss to Francis Ngannou in 2021, suggesting potential ring rust. All these factors combined contribute to a high confidence in predicting Jones as the winner of this bout.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Jones vs Miocic can be found on the Jones vs Miocic event page.