Winner: Jonathan Martinez
Confidence Score: 65Jonathan Martinez holds a ranking of #13 in the Bantamweight division, indicating his experience against higher-level competition. He has a well-rounded record with 19 wins, including 9 by knockout and 2 by submission, showing versatility in finishing fights. His average fight time of 13:11 suggests he can maintain his performance through multiple rounds. Martinez's significant strike accuracy (50%) and takedown skills (36% accuracy and 68% defense) provide a balanced approach to striking and grappling.
Marcus McGhee has a strong record (9-1-0) with an impressive 8 wins by knockout, showcasing his striking power. However, his average fight time is considerably lower at 05:57, which may indicate less endurance or experience in longer fights. McGhee's significant strike defense is exceptional at 71%, but his overall experience in high-level contests like that of Martinez may be lacking.
Given Martinez's current ranking and experience in the UFC, coupled with a solid skill set in both striking and grappling, he is more likely to handle different phases of the fight better than McGhee. McGhee's advantage could come through his striking power, but Martinez's balanced skillset and competitive experience at a higher level give him a slight edge. Thus, the confidence in picking Martinez as the winner is moderate at 65% due to McGhee's knockout capability which poses a significant threat.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jonathan Martinez vs Marcus McGhee can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Jones vs Miocic can be found on the Jones vs Miocic event page.