Winner: Alexandre Pantoja
Confidence Score: 85Alexandre Pantoja is the current Flyweight Champion and has an impressive MMA record of 28-5-0. His experience in the UFC is substantial, with a career spanning since 2017, which has seen him face high-level competition consistently and succeed. Pantoja's combat capabilities are well-rounded, evidenced by his 8 wins by knockout and 10 by submission, illustrating his proficiency in both striking and grappling. He has shown effective octagon control with decent takedown accuracy (48%) and defense (68%), as well as a significant strike accuracy and defense both at 50%. In contrast, Kai Asakura, though a promising fighter, will be making his UFC debut, and lacks statistical data and experience against UFC-level competition. Without previous UFC fights to analyze, there's considerable uncertainty about how he'll perform under UFC rules and pressure. Pantoja's championship experience and proven track record in the organization give him a distinct advantage, thus making him the more likely victor in this fight.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pantoja vs Asakura can be found on the Pantoja vs Asakura event page.