Winner: Chase Hooper
Confidence Score: 75Chase Hooper appears to have several advantages in this matchup against Clay Guida, which suggests a higher probability of a victory for him.
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Youth and Reach Advantage: Hooper is significantly younger at age 24 compared to Guida's 41. This youth advantage means Hooper could likely possess better endurance, speed, and recovery capabilities. Additionally, Hooper has a notable reach advantage with a 74-inch arm reach compared to Guida's 70 inches, and a 41-inch leg reach compared to 38 inches. This can play a crucial role in maintaining distance and controlling the engagement range, particularly with striking and grappling exchanges.
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Grappling Prowess: Hooper has shown strong grappling skills with a high number of victories by submission (7 wins by submission out of 13 wins). Given Guida's freestyle style that includes wrestling, Hooper's specialized grappling could neutralize or counter Guida's takedown attempts, potentially turning grappling exchanges into offensive opportunities for Hooper.
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Momentum from Recent Performances: Hooper is currently on a three-fight winning streak, with two finishes by submission in his last two outings. This recent success indicates improving skill and confidence inside the octagon.
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Striking Accuracy: Hooper has a higher significant strike accuracy at 52% compared to Guida’s 34%. Although Hooper’s striking defense is not as robust as Guida's, the ability to land more accurately can accumulate damage and keep Guida at a distance.
While Guida's experience and defensive capabilities make him a tough adversary, Hooper's momentum, youth, reach, and grappling strengths position him with a favorable chance to secure a win in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Clay Guida vs Chase Hooper can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pantoja vs Asakura can be found on the Pantoja vs Asakura event page.