Winner: Jim Miller
Confidence Score: 65The matchup between Jim Miller and Damon Jackson presents a classic clash between two seasoned grapplers with contrasting career trajectories.
Jim Miller has an extensive record of 37 wins, 18 losses, and is well known for his submission prowess with 20 victories coming via submission. More importantly, Miller has a significant experience advantage and is known for his durability and ability to finish fights quickly, reflected in his 15 first-round finishes. His takedown accuracy stands at a respectable 44%, complementing his Jiu-Jitsu style, which could be critical against Jackson, a fellow grappler. Miller's notable advantage in significant strike defense (57%) also suggests he could manage Jackson's striking attempts effectively.
Damon Jackson, on the other hand, has a record of 23 wins, 7 losses, and 1 draw with a strong grappling background as evidenced by his 15 submission wins. However, Jackson is currently on a four-fight losing streak, showing vulnerabilities in his striking and defensive capabilities. His significant strike defense is only 49% and his takedown defense is particularly low at 38%, indicating potential challenges in stopping Miller's offensive grappling.
While both fighters are strong grapplers, Miller's greater experience, consistent finishing ability, and current form tip the scales in his favor despite his age disadvantage (Miller is 40, Jackson is 36). Damon Jackson's recent form suggests struggles that Miller, with his fight IQ and experience, is likely to exploit. Hence, I lean towards Jim Miller to secure a victory, although due respect to Jackson’s grappling skills reduces the confidence level slightly.
Live odds
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