Winner: Jhonata Diniz
Confidence Score: 70Analyzing the fight between Marcin Tybura and Jhonata Diniz, several key factors point towards Diniz having the upper hand. Firstly, Diniz has an undefeated record of 8-0 with an impressive knockout rate, securing 7 of his victories through KO/TKO, showcasing his potent striking ability. With a significant strike accuracy of 53% and having won 6 of his fights in the first round, Diniz possesses the aggressive and powerful striking that's critical in the heavyweight division.
On the other hand, Marcin Tybura, the more experienced fighter with a record of 25-9, has shown versatility in winning by both knockouts and submissions. However, his recent fights indicate some inconsistencies, and at 38 years, age might play a role against a younger opponent like Diniz, who is still in his prime at 33.
Furthermore, Tybura’s takedown accuracy stands at 33%, which is not highly efficient, and he may struggle to implement a grappling-heavy game plan against Diniz, who has a decent takedown defense of 70%. Although Tybura holds a rank of #9 in the heavyweight division, suggesting higher-level competition history, the momentum clearly lies with Diniz, who is on a win streak with a recent unanimous decision victory against Karl Williams.
Given these aspects - Diniz's knockout power, youth, and current undefeated streak - he is favored to win this matchup with reasonable confidence of about 70% considering Tybura's ability to withstand and adapt through his experience.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Jones vs Miocic can be found on the Jones vs Miocic event page.