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Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry: UFC Betting Guide

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry: UFC Betting Guide

Published

Sun Nov 24 2024

Last Updated

Sun Nov 24 2024

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry: A UFC Showdown Not to Miss

UFC fans and sports bettors, brace yourselves for a welterweight clash that promises to light up the octagon on December 8, 2024, at the iconic T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. In a high-stakes duel on the UFC 310 main card, Shavkat Rakhmonov (#3) faces off against Ian Machado Garry (#7) in a bout that could shake up the division rankings. With the bell set to ring at 3:00 AM UTC, this showdown is generating buzz for a reason, and you won’t want to miss it.

Let's dive into why this fight is capturing the attention of UFC enthusiasts and seasoned bettors alike.

A Tale of Two Streaks

Both fighters enter the octagon undefeated, but they're bringing different strategies and styles to the table. Shavkat Rakhmonov, hailing from Kazakhstan, boasts an impeccable 18-0-0 record, flexing his remarkable finishing power with 8 knockouts and 10 submissions. Known for his precision in the ring, Rakhmonov’s significant strike accuracy stands at an impressive 61%, and he’s a fortress with a takedown defense of 100%. His ability to adapt and overcome makes him a favorite with betting odds swinging widely in his favor, reaching as low as -410 on Bovada.

On the flip side, Dublin's pride, Ian Machado Garry, steps in with an exhilarating 15-0-0 fight record. A rising star known for his striking prowess, Garry has notched up 7 victories by knockout with a sharp 55% significant strike accuracy. His resilience and strategic acumen have seen him edge out tough competitors, with recent wins over top-tier names like Michael Page and Neil Magny. Although Garry is the underdog with odds peaking at +305 via Bovada, don't discount his ability to capitalize on the slightest opening and turn the fight in his favor.

Betting Insights and Predictions

For the sports bettor seeking to make informed decisions, the different fight dynamics and odds present intriguing opportunities. Rakhmonov might be the analyst's favorite due to his flawless takedown defense and rapid fight conclusions, averaging just over eight minutes per bout. However, Garry's tenacity and knack for going the distance (with an average fight time of 12:10), paired with his agility and reach, make him a wildcard capable of orchestrating an upset.

The stakes are sky-high with Rakhmonov's winning streak, but Garry holds enough underdog potential to spice up the betting landscape. Those leaning towards a high-risk, high-reward wager might favor Garry's odds, while others might find security in betting on Rakhmonov's continued dominance.

This clash is not merely another match; it's a pivotal moment in the UFC welterweight division with potential title implications. So whether you're tuning in to witness a skillful display of martial arts or looking to cash in on some juicy odds, make sure you’re front and center for what promises to be a rollercoaster of adrenaline and tactics in Las Vegas.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pantoja vs Asakura can be found on the Pantoja vs Asakura event page.

Fighter Profiles: Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry

Shavkat Rakhmonov: Kazakhstan's Unyielding Force

Shavkat Rakhmonov, 29, hails from the storied lands of Uzbekistan, a testament to his Kazakh fighting roots that have molded him into a formidable contender in the UFC welterweight division. With a background steeped in Sambo, Rakhmonov integrates a versatile fighting style, enabling him to seamlessly transition between striking and grappling. This versatility is no small feat, as highlighted by his pristine 18-0-0 professional record, a testament to his dominance in the octagon.

Focusing on his recent bouts, Rakhmonov's string of victories has been nothing short of spectacular. His last three fights showcase his prowess: A submission win against the striking artist Stephen Thompson in December 2023, another submission victory over Neil Magny in June 2022, and a decisive TKO against Carlston Harris. These wins underline his ability to either break down opponents with power or finesse them into submission.

Strength-wise, Rakhmonov excels with a 61% significant strike accuracy, making each shot count. His takedown defense at 100% is virtually impenetrable, forcing opponents to challenge him in stand-up exchanges. However, his 29% takedown accuracy hints at a potential area to exploit, suggesting he relies more on striking or controlling exchanges rather than ground domination.

Ian Machado Garry: Dublin's Rising Prospect

Ian Machado Garry, at the youthful age of 26, hails from Dublin, Ireland. Touted as a new force within the UFC circuitry, Garry’s approach to fighting is aggressive yet calculated, making him a dangerous opponent who’s as charismatic as he is skilled. With a perfect slate of 15-0-0 and a penchant for electrifying knockouts, Garry’s rise through the ranks has been meteoric.

Delving into Garry's recent form, his last three fights provide a snapshot of grit and endurance. A unanimous decision backed his victory over Michael Page in June 2024, following a split decision win against the potent Geoff Neal earlier that year, and a decisive first-round knockout of Daniel Rodriguez. These performances underscore his capacity to go the distance or finish fights abruptly, with a notable ability to adapt to different combat styles.

In terms of strengths, Garry wields a 55% significant strike accuracy, showcasing his precision in exchanges. His takedown accuracy at 56% provides an additional layer of threat, giving him the capability to alter the dynamics of any fight. However, his defense on the striking front stands at 53%, suggesting a slight vulnerability that can be exposed against high-volume attackers like Rakhmonov.

Summary

In a bout between these two undefeated warriors, both Shavkat Rakhmonov and Ian Machado Garry bring distinct strengths that could tilt the match in their favor. Rakhmonov's ground superiority and striking precision create a formidable wall difficult to breach, while Garry’s adaptiveness and knockout power make him a perpetual threat across all rounds. This clash will not only showcase these welterweights' prowess but also test the standing stamina and tactical decisions they employ, setting the stage for potential UFC greatness. For bettors eyeing this match, understanding these profiles is crucial for informed UFC betting tips and decisions.

Betting Odds Analysis: Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry

The upcoming clash between Shavkat Rakhmonov and Ian Machado Garry not only promises excitement in the octagon but also sets the stage for intriguing betting opportunities. Let's break down the current odds landscape and explore what each fighter's lines suggest for those looking to make savvy bets on this welterweight showdown.

Current Betting Odds

As of the latest updates, Shavkat Rakhmonov is the favorite across sportsbooks, with odds as low as -410 at Bovada. This positions Rakhmonov as the more expected victor, reflecting the betting community's confidence in his undefeated run and formidable skill set. On the other side, Ian Machado Garry, the underdog in this matchup, has enticing odds going up to +305 also on Bovada. This disparity highlights Garry as a high-risk, high-reward option for bettors, potentially turning heads with an upset.

Betting Considerations

For those placing their bets, it's essential to identify which sportsbook offers the best payout and updates the most frequently. Bovada stands out for having the most competitive odds for both fighters, while DraftKings also offers generous odds, particularly for Garry. In terms of fluctuation and updates, DraftKings and LowVig.ag have shown significant changes, highlighting their responsiveness to betting patterns and market sentiment.

Bettors looking for frequent updates might prefer platforms like DraftKings, which have shown varied pricing, reflecting market dynamics and offering chances to capitalize on shifts. Meanwhile, those focused on securing the best payout might lean towards Bovada, which currently provides the most enticing odds for an underdog bet on Garry.

Potential Payouts and Probabilities

For bettors considering placing $1,000 on this fight, understanding potential payouts is crucial. Betting on Shavkat Rakhmonov with odds of -410 would yield approximately $244 in profit, translating to a payout of $1,244 — a modest return that comes with lower risk due to his favored status. Betting the same amount on Ian Machado Garry at +305 could turn into a lucrative $3,050 profit, resulting in a total payout of $4,050, clearly appealing for those favoring the upset.

The implied probability of Rakhmonov winning, when factoring in the current odds, is substantial, indicating a likelihood of him maintaining his unbeaten record. Conversely, the odds reflect a lower probability of Garry's victory, highlighting the potential payday associated with his underdog status.

Regardless of where you place your bet, understanding the dynamics behind these odds and the trends in their movement can greatly enhance your betting strategy, providing key insights into alignments and shifts leading up to fight night. Whether you’re betting with the majority or playing the underdog narrative, the Rakhmonov vs. Garry fight offers ample opportunities for excitement and smart wagers.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez