Winner: Dominick Reyes
Confidence Score: 72Based on the analysis of their recent performance and skills, Dominick Reyes is likely to have an edge in this matchup against Anthony Smith. Firstly, Reyes has a slightly better significant strike accuracy (50%) compared to Smith's (49%), which suggests he is marginally more precise with his striking. Additionally, Reyes's strike defense is also slightly superior at 49% versus Smith's 47%, indicating he has a better chance to avoid incoming strikes.
Furthermore, Reyes has a notable advantage in takedown defense, with a solid 81% as opposed to Smith's 50%. This significant difference in takedown defense could be crucial in neutralizing any grappling attempts by Smith, forcing the fight to remain standing where Reyes might leverage his striking prowess.
In terms of momentum, Reyes's record, although consisting of fewer fights (13-4-0), suggests he might have more untapped potential or fewer wear-and-tear impacts than Smith, who has a longer career (38-20-0). Smith's recent performance indicates a bit of a struggle with two consecutive losses coming into this fight, possibly affecting his confidence and performance continuity.
Overall, Reyes’s technical statistics combined with recent performances suggest a likelihood of victory over Smith, primarily due to his sharper striking, reliable takedown defense, and slightly better recent form. Although Smith is a seasoned veteran with a versatile skill set, his current momentum seems less favorable, thus tipping the scales in favor of Reyes for this bout.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Dominick Reyes vs Anthony Smith can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pantoja vs Asakura can be found on the Pantoja vs Asakura event page.