Winner: Vicente Luque
Confidence Score: 75Vicente Luque vs Themba Gorimbo is an interesting matchup given their respective records, experience levels, and fighting styles.
Vicente Luque is ranked #14 in the welterweight division and has a record of 22-10-1, demonstrating a good level of experience and success at the UFC level. With 11 wins by knockout and 8 by submission, Luque is a well-rounded fighter capable of ending fights in multiple ways. He also has a high number of first-round finishes (13), indicating his ability to capitalize on early opportunities in a fight. His striking accuracy (52%) and defense (53%) are decent, providing him the tools to engage effectively in standup exchanges. Additionally, his takedown accuracy is at 54%, which can be leveraged against Gorimbo if he decides to shift strategies.
On the other hand, Themba Gorimbo has a record of 14-4-0, showing he is a competent fighter but less experienced on the big stage compared to Luque. Gorimbo is on a significant winning streak, having won his last few fights, mostly by decision, with a notable KO/TKO win over Pete Rodriguez. His impressive takedown defense (82%) could resist Luque's pressure, yet his striking accuracy (62%) and defense (56%) might not be sufficient against someone with Luque's standup capabilities.
Gorimbo's style, primarily MMA, offers a balanced approach, but Luque's Muay Thai base gives him an edge in striking duels. Luque's higher-level experience and ability to finish fights both standing and on the ground represent strong advantages. Considering all these factors, Luque is favored to win, especially given his higher experience at top-level competition and knockout power. However, Gorimbo's winning streak and statistical strengths in defense make the fight competitive, reducing the confidence level slightly. Therefore, the prediction leans towards Vicente Luque with a confidence score of 75%.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Vicente Luque vs Themba Gorimbo can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pantoja vs Asakura can be found on the Pantoja vs Asakura event page.